Observation #21612

← Research Observations / #21612

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.086439

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $20,490,209

Synced: 10-07 13:02 +1h

← Prev (10-07 11:00) Next (10-07 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3095

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 11:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037279

Settled at: 2026-10-07 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)820,956,226.00

OI (USD)$71,006,146

Mark price$0.086492

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$21,055,036

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.041%

Change 4h -2.350%

Change 24h -6.404%

Z-score 7d 0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001184%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 80.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.811%

Divergence 1.78

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.308

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.56

OI momentum 4h

-2.071%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+492 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243290	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.574	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b -0.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.41	70%	↓ -0.17	below_value	-5.67	—	#125435	0.54	bull_high	+13.29%	-0.12	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #249636	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.769	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	late 15b -2.0ATR	—	—	0.95	50%	↑ +0.42	below_value	-8.54	—	#128288	0.49	range_high	-0.49%	-0.67	07/10 08:00 upd 07/10 12:21	↗
1h anchor #249634	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.536	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 9b -1.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.55	43%	↔ +0.13	below_value	-8.54	inside	#128288	0.53	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.85%	-0.21	07/10 11:00 upd 07/10 12:20	↗
15m #249439	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.471	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 9b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.23	25%	↓ -0.58	below_value	-8.45	—	#128120	0.64	bear_low	-1.05%	+0.05	07/10 11:45 upd 07/10 12:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183682	fresh	2026-10-07 11:00	0s	0.485	0.370	55/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:37
4h #183765	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	0s	0.425	0.259	72/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:39
1d #182177	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	16h	0.317	0.383	68/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #128204	fresh	2026-10-07 11:45	0s	$0.089795	$0.089884	$0.086158	value	-6.02	6.69
7d #128288	fresh	2026-10-07 11:00	0s	$0.095691	$0.098177	$0.090638	between	-8.54	6.79
30d #128372	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	0s	$0.096419	$0.109346	$0.084314	value	-3.83	9.23

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.084383 → $0.085093	0.84%	1.27	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001346	+2.42
below	$0.090949 → $0.091481	0.58%	0.96	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004510	-8.10

Prix observé : $0.086439. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.084383 → $0.085666	1.51%	1.16	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000773	+0.70
below	$0.086628 → $0.087270	0.74%	0.58	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000189	-0.17
below	$0.101224 → $0.103630	2.35%	2.17	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014785	-13.31

Prix observé : $0.086439. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	1.36	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006229	+2.30
below	$0.118374 → $0.125760	6.05%	2.72	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.031935	-11.78

Prix observé : $0.086439. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}