Observation #21785

← Research Observations / #21785

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.785120

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,647,862

Synced: 10-07 15:02 +1h

← Prev (10-07 13:00) Next (10-07 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2843

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 13:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00019823

Settled at: 2026-10-07 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,614,032.00

OI (USD)$32,592,526

Mark price$0.783210

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,591,997

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 13:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.004%

Change 4h +1.051%

Change 24h +1.258%

Z-score 7d -0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 86.9%

Percentile 30d 67.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.679%

Divergence -1.41

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

11.226

OI / Vol z-7d

0.68

OI momentum 4h

+1.118%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+540 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243307	fresh	18h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.732	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 10b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.35	70%	↓ -0.18	above_value	+0.76	—	#125443	0.65	bull_high	+13.29%	+0.99	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:25	↗
4h #249663	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.553	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 16b -0.9ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.28	64%	↓ -0.49	above_value	-0.15	—	#128297	0.52	range_high	-0.49%	-0.44	07/10 08:00 upd 07/10 12:22	↗
1h anchor #250435	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.414	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 1b -1.2ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	4.68	98%	↑ +0.66	above_value	-0.27	—	#128715	0.46	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.14%	-0.03	07/10 13:00 upd 07/10 14:14	↗
15m #250356	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.523	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 47%	early 1b -1.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	8.90	100%	↓ -0.31	above_value	-0.27	—	#128715	0.53	bear_low	-1.23%	-0.13	07/10 13:45 upd 07/10 14:10	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183938	fresh	2026-10-07 13:00	0s	0.594	0.359	4/81	2026-10-07 14:00	2026-10-07 14:37
4h #183774	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	2h	0.537	0.508	31/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:40
1d #182185	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	18h	0.496	0.684	35/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #128632	fresh	2026-10-07 13:45	0s	$0.790481	$0.798362	$0.781672	hvn	-0.81	2.52
7d #128715	fresh	2026-10-07 13:00	0s	$0.797805	$0.850350	$0.774640	hvn	-0.27	7.08
30d #128381	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	2h	$0.802398	$0.932660	$0.661714	value	-0.79	11.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.807326 → $0.810726	0.42%	0.51	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022206	-3.35
below	$0.812580 → $0.815980	0.42%	0.51	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027460	-4.14

Prix observé : $0.785120. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.763340 → $0.775770	1.62%	1.16	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009350	+0.87
below	$0.877470 → $0.898940	2.42%	2.01	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.092350	-8.64

Prix observé : $0.785120. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.515820 → $0.540136	4.61%	1.06	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.244984	+10.64
above	$0.720766 → $0.769398	6.53%	2.11	0.75	reversion	✓	↑ $0.015722	+0.68
below	$0.901397 → $0.932660	3.41%	1.36	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.116277	-5.05

Prix observé : $0.785120. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T17:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T17:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}