Observation #22177

← Research Observations / #22177

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.5322

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,717,885

Synced: 10-07 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-07 18:00) Next (10-07 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5217

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 18:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00015937

Settled at: 2026-10-07 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,083,438.00

OI (USD)$7,791,539

Mark price$2.5269

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,758,606

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 18:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.024%

Change 4h +4.580%

Change 24h -15.979%

Z-score 7d 0.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001276%

Percentile 7d 72.0%

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.989%

Divergence -0.96

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.626

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.86

OI momentum 4h

+11.268%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+709 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243278	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.723	normal	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 40%	early 11b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.49	50%	↓ -0.53	value	-0.35	—	#125429	0.50	bull_high	+13.29%	+0.86	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:24	↗
4h #251309	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.503	normal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 36%	late 10b -1.8ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	1.52	75%	↑ +0.71	above_value	-0.26	—	#129026	0.41	range_high	-0.51%	-0.54	07/10 12:00 upd 07/10 16:20	↗
1h anchor #252466	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.483	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 8b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.06	9%	↔ -0.07	above_value	+0.63	—	#129599	0.62	bear_medium	-1.88%	-0.08	07/10 18:00 upd 07/10 19:11	↗
15m #252389	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 46%	early 4b 1.0ATR	—	—	0.08	18%	↓ -0.89	above_value	+0.08	—	#129437	0.53	bear_low	-0.83%	+0.19	07/10 18:45 upd 07/10 19:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #184407	fresh	2026-10-07 18:00	0s	0.495	0.383	32/80	2026-10-07 19:00	2026-10-07 19:37
4h #184165	fresh	2026-10-07 12:00	3h	0.550	0.404	18/81	2026-10-07 16:00	2026-10-07 16:39
1d #182172	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	23h	0.455	0.723	51/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #129518	fresh	2026-10-07 18:45	0s	$2.5074	$2.5772	$2.4885	value	2.04	7.29
7d #129599	fresh	2026-10-07 18:00	0s	$2.5132	$2.6982	$2.4641	hvn	0.63	7.79
30d #129108	fresh	2026-10-07 12:00	3h	$2.7114	$2.8340	$2.4385	value	-3.10	5.83

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.5927 → $2.6104	0.68%	1.46	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.060477	-4.98
below	$2.6547 → $2.7079	1.98%	4.38	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.122520	-10.08

Prix observé : $2.5322. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4420 → $2.4673	1.03%	0.84	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.064900	+2.16
below	$2.6318 → $2.6665	1.31%	1.16	0.44	reversion	—	↓ $0.099550	-3.32
below	$2.7867 → $2.8215	1.24%	1.16	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.254513	-8.48

Prix observé : $2.5322. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0905 → $2.1300	1.87%	0.58	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.402180	+5.93
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.63	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.341360	-5.03

Prix observé : $2.5322. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T22:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T22:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}