Observation #22198

← Research Observations / #22198

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,302.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,834,625,926

Synced: 10-07 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-07 19:00) Next (10-07 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.686

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 19:46:18 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00027586

Settled at: 2026-10-07 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,616.26

OI (USD)$3,297,935,126

Mark price$83,247.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,826,904,595

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 19:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.385%

Change 4h -0.304%

Change 24h -5.192%

Z-score 7d -0.59

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.133%

Divergence 0.16

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.158

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.58

OI momentum 4h

+0.113%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+144 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #252789	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.478	volatile_reversal	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b -2.0ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.38	19%	↔ +0.05	below_value	-6.14	—	#129539	—	—	—	—	07/10 16:00 upd 07/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #252788	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.723	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 44%	early 10b -0.8ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.24	17%	↓ -0.26	below_value	-6.14	—	#129539	—	—	—	—	07/10 19:00 upd 07/10 20:05	↗
15m #252724	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.560	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b 0.0ATR	near 0.1ATR	near -0.2ATR	0.24	1%	↔ -0.13	below_value	-6.14	—	#129539	—	—	—	—	07/10 19:45 upd 07/10 20:00	↗
5m #252723	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.664	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 43%	early 5b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.28	4%	↓ -0.23	below_value	-6.14	—	#129539	—	—	—	—	07/10 19:55 upd 07/10 20:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #184427	fresh	2026-10-07 19:00	0s	0.497	0.435	26/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:35
4h #184507	fresh	2026-10-07 16:00	0s	0.516	0.460	29/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	0s	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #129620	fresh	2026-10-07 19:45	0s	$83,367.73	$84,089.05	$83,024.80	hvn	-0.45	7.32
7d #129701	fresh	2026-10-07 19:00	0s	$85,531.03	$86,748.15	$84,201.55	between	-5.98	6.83
30d #129782	fresh	2026-10-07 16:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	value	-1.19	11.72

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$84,538.40 → $85,129.65	0.70%	4.07	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,236.40	-8.50
below	$85,460.75 → $85,579.00	0.14%	0.81	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,158.75	-14.84

Prix observé : $83,302.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,741.00 → $83,227.85	0.59%	1.31	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $74.1500	+0.20
below	$86,710.70 → $87,235.00	0.60%	1.41	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,408.70	-9.14

Prix observé : $83,302.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.54	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,980.07	+10.38
above	$79,616.00 → $80,768.07	1.44%	1.50	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,533.93	+3.30
above	$81,605.93 → $82,653.27	1.28%	1.36	0.79	reversion	✓	↑ $648.73	+0.84
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.68	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,645.33	-4.74

Prix observé : $83,302.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	20:05	20:20	+0.17%	+0.38×	+0.40×	-0.09×	15m	10m	Low first	0.95	0.00%	+0.17%	29.98%	0.21%	$6.38M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	20:05	21:05	+0.24%	+0.56×	+0.58×	-0.09×	1h	10m	Low first	0.32	0.00%	+0.24%	29.17%	0.29%	$38.54M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	20:05	00:05	-0.71%	-1.63×	+0.73×	-1.76×	1h5m	3h20m	High first	0.21	0.00%	-0.71%	27.94%	1.08%	$262.12M	— / —	23:15 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	20:05	08:05	-1.11%	-2.56×	+0.73×	-2.84×	1h5m	4h20m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.11%	34.67%	1.55%	$1.07B	— / —	23:15 / 00:20	—	100%
1d	computed	20:05	20:05	-1.75%	-4.02×	+0.73×	-7.96×	1h5m	17h25m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-1.75%	40.62%	3.77%	$3.63B	— / —	23:15 / 00:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T23:46:18+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 822,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T23:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}