Observation #22436

← Research Observations / #22436

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,140.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,233,415,275

Synced: 10-08 00:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7344

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 22:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039037

Settled at: 2026-10-07 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,428.16

OI (USD)$3,276,717,031

Mark price$83,106.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,215,383,645

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.090%

Change 4h -0.211%

Change 24h -4.203%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.075%

Divergence 0.20

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.258

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.53

OI momentum 4h

+0.287%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+147 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #252789	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.478	volatile_reversal	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 42%	late 8b -2.0ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.38	19%	↔ +0.05	below_value	-6.14	—	#129539	—	—	—	—	07/10 16:00 upd 07/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #254189	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.617	compression	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 44%	early 10b -1.1ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.57	46%	↓ -0.52	below_value	-6.70	—	#130107	—	—	—	—	07/10 22:00 upd 07/10 23:05	↗
15m #254119	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.365	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.6ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.55	15%	↑ +0.22	below_value	-6.70	—	#130107	—	—	—	—	07/10 22:45 upd 07/10 23:00	↗
5m #254118	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.355	expansion	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 38%	early 9b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.28	13%	↔ -0.14	below_value	-6.70	—	#130107	—	—	—	—	07/10 22:55 upd 07/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #184825	fresh	2026-10-07 22:00	0s	0.507	0.450	27/78	2026-10-07 23:00	2026-10-07 23:35
4h #184507	fresh	2026-10-07 16:00	3h	0.516	0.460	29/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	3h	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #130189	fresh	2026-10-07 22:45	0s	$83,371.85	$83,717.80	$82,930.93	hvn	-1.45	4.91
7d #130267	fresh	2026-10-07 22:00	0s	$85,531.03	$86,748.15	$84,201.55	lvn LVN	-6.50	6.93
30d #129782	fresh	2026-10-07 16:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	value	-1.19	11.72

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,741.00 → $82,917.37	0.21%	1.10	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $222.63	+1.39
below	$83,812.77 → $83,948.43	0.16%	0.85	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $672.77	-4.20
below	$84,287.60 → $84,369.00	0.10%	0.51	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,147.60	-7.16

Prix observé : $83,140.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$82,741.00 → $83,152.95	0.50%	1.12	0.63	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,710.70 → $87,235.00	0.60%	1.43	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,570.70	-9.71

Prix observé : $83,140.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.54	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,818.07	+10.17
above	$79,616.00 → $80,768.07	1.44%	1.50	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,371.93	+3.08
above	$81,605.93 → $82,653.27	1.28%	1.36	0.79	reversion	✓	↑ $486.73	+0.63
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.68	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,807.33	-4.95

Prix observé : $83,140.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	-0.22%	-0.48×	+0.03×	-0.51×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.22%	2.23%	0.25%	$21.08M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	-0.43%	-0.94×	+0.03×	-1.06×	5m	20m	High first	0.52	0.00%	-0.43%	27.80%	0.50%	$100.83M	— / —	23:20 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	-0.37%	-0.80×	+0.03×	-2.08×	5m	1h20m	High first	0.08	0.00%	-0.37%	41.03%	0.97%	$496.27M	— / —	23:20 / 00:20	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	-0.63%	-1.38×	+0.68×	-3.31×	4h20m	10h40m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-0.63%	37.31%	1.84%	$1.48B	— / —	23:20 / 00:20	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	-1.10%	-2.39×	+0.68×	-6.91×	4h20m	14h25m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-1.10%	40.50%	3.50%	$3.71B	— / —	23:20 / 00:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T02:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}