Observation #22729

← Research Observations / #22729

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.381780

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,348,637

Synced: 10-08 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-08 01:00) Next (10-08 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3582

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 01:46:20 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002731

Settled at: 2026-10-08 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)20,053,993.80

OI (USD)$7,687,699

Mark price$0.383350

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,369,580

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.166%

Change 4h -0.104%

Change 24h +7.803%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 43.5%

Percentile 30d 66.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.376%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.434

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-0.532%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1264 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 129 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #253107	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.534	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 42%	late 33b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.82	70%	↓ -0.35	below_value	-9.57	—	#129760	0.72	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.99	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:29	↗
4h #254705	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.661	normal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 43%	late 13b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.16	11%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-10.38	—	#130478	0.63	bear_high	-1.29%	-0.71	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 00:18	↗
1h anchor #255479	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.730	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 40%	late 1b -2.0ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.00	83%	↓ -0.48	below_value	-9.91	inside	#130868	0.59	bear_medium	-2.27%	-0.38	08/10 01:00 upd 08/10 02:13	↗
15m #255324	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.272	volatile_reversal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 47%	early 4b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.01	1%	↑ +0.92	below_value	-10.14	—	#130711	0.53	bear_low	-0.81%	-0.11	08/10 01:30 upd 08/10 01:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #185192	fresh	2026-10-08 01:00	0s	0.432	0.218	66/78	2026-10-08 02:00	2026-10-08 02:37
4h #185035	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	2h	0.376	0.210	71/77	2026-10-08 00:00	2026-10-08 00:39
1d #184646	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	6h	0.179	0.062	80/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #130790	fresh	2026-10-08 01:45	0s	$0.386293	$0.392360	$0.376277	value	-1.39	4.95
7d #130868	fresh	2026-10-08 01:00	0s	$0.447031	$0.458299	$0.417591	between	-9.91	6.72
30d #130555	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	2h	$0.490155	$0.529840	$0.441812	lvn LVN	-7.47	6.49

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.398003 → $0.404211	1.55%	1.91	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016223	-5.00

Prix observé : $0.381780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.389968 → $0.404507	3.66%	2.40	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.008188	-1.35

Prix observé : $0.381780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.375430 → $0.408621	8.47%	2.45	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.538498 → $0.548600	1.86%	0.75	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.156718	-11.56

Prix observé : $0.381780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:46:20+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 820,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}