Observation #22737

← Research Observations / #22737

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.086194

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,305,749

Synced: 10-08 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-08 01:00) Next (10-08 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3582

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 01:46:20 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00028222

Settled at: 2026-10-08 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)795,926,618.00

OI (USD)$68,758,509

Mark price$0.086388

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$15,064,909

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.453%

Change 4h -1.619%

Change 24h -6.097%

Z-score 7d -1.96

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001131%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 81.0%

Δ 4h +0.000298%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.695%

Divergence 0.04

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.414

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.28

OI momentum 4h

-1.295%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+506 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #253134	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.517	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 12b -0.7ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.58	83%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-7.64	—	#129768	0.54	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.69	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:30	↗
4h #254729	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.771	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	late 18b -1.5ATR	near -2.1ATR	—	0.44	20%	↔ -0.13	below_value	-8.70	—	#130486	0.49	bear_high	-1.29%	-0.58	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 00:19	↗
1h anchor #255487	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.541	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 1b -1.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.31	10%	↓ -0.61	below_value	-7.98	inside	#130876	0.56	bear_medium	-2.27%	+0.01	08/10 01:00 upd 08/10 02:14	↗
15m #255408	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.363	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 46%	early 5b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.18	8%	↑ +0.50	below_value	-9.27	—	#130719	0.70	bear_low	-1.04%	-0.09	08/10 01:45 upd 08/10 02:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #185199	fresh	2026-10-08 01:00	0s	0.469	0.390	44/78	2026-10-08 02:00	2026-10-08 02:37
4h #185042	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	2h	0.419	0.278	63/77	2026-10-08 00:00	2026-10-08 00:39
1d #184653	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	6h	0.326	0.343	75/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #130798	fresh	2026-10-08 01:45	0s	$0.086247	$0.087877	$0.085234	hvn	-0.09	4.26
7d #130876	fresh	2026-10-08 01:00	0s	$0.095691	$0.099781	$0.090799	between	-7.98	8.28
30d #130563	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	2h	$0.096419	$0.109756	$0.084314	value	-3.71	10.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.084959 → $0.085474	0.60%	0.83	0.57	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000720	+1.16

Prix observé : $0.086194. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.084383 → $0.085666	1.51%	1.18	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000528	+0.49
below	$0.088232 → $0.088874	0.72%	0.59	0.50	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.002038	-1.88
below	$0.100903 → $0.103630	2.67%	2.51	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014709	-13.56

Prix observé : $0.086194. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	1.47	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005984	+2.39
below	$0.118374 → $0.125760	6.05%	2.95	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.032180	-12.83

Prix observé : $0.086194. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:46:20+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 820,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}