Observation #22808

← Research Observations / #22808

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.5388

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,348,551

Synced: 10-08 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-08 02:00) Next (10-08 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1741

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 02:46:21 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00024361

Settled at: 2026-10-08 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,129,461.20

OI (USD)$7,950,709

Mark price$2.5406

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,302,546

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.854%

Change 4h +1.796%

Change 24h -8.129%

Z-score 7d 1.23

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 72.0%

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.388%

Divergence -0.36

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.393

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.32

OI momentum 4h

+2.503%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+717 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #253111	fresh	7h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.707	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.2ATR	—	—	1.37	93%	↓ -0.51	value	+1.13	—	#129761	0.50	bull_high	+10.10%	+0.46	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:29	↗
4h #254708	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.566	normal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	late 12b -1.6ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.20	6%	↑ +0.43	above_value	+0.03	—	#130479	0.41	bear_high	-1.29%	-0.46	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 00:18	↗
1h anchor #255876	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.638	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 1b 0.2ATR	near 0.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.59	74%	↓ -0.77	above_value	+0.83	—	#131029	0.61	bear_medium	-1.99%	+0.16	08/10 02:00 upd 08/10 03:12	↗
15m #255797	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.586	volatile_reversal	range_medium	31%	noisy_chop 39%	early 1b 0.8ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.73	83%	↑ +0.88	above_value	+1.10	—	#130869	0.65	range_low	-0.73%	+0.08	08/10 02:45 upd 08/10 03:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #185272	fresh	2026-10-08 02:00	0s	0.501	0.425	32/79	2026-10-08 03:00	2026-10-08 03:37
4h #185036	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	3h	0.477	0.381	39/77	2026-10-08 00:00	2026-10-08 00:39
1d #184647	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	7h	0.460	0.581	47/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #130949	fresh	2026-10-08 02:45	0s	$2.5083	$2.5430	$2.4882	value	1.66	2.99
7d #131029	fresh	2026-10-08 02:00	0s	$2.5132	$2.7013	$2.4641	hvn	0.83	7.67
30d #130556	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	3h	$2.7114	$2.8340	$2.4385	value	-3.14	6.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4420 → $2.4712	1.19%	1.59	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.067600	+3.69
below	$2.5588 → $2.5880	1.13%	1.59	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.020000	-1.09

Prix observé : $2.5388. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4420 → $2.4705	1.16%	0.92	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.068337	+2.21
below	$2.6318 → $2.6665	1.31%	1.12	0.43	reversion	—	↓ $0.092950	-3.01
below	$2.7899 → $2.8215	1.13%	1.02	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.251075	-8.12

Prix observé : $2.5388. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0905 → $2.1300	1.87%	0.62	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.408780	+6.36
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.72	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.334760	-5.21

Prix observé : $2.5388. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T06:46:21+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 819,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}