Observation #23360

← Research Observations / #23360

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,678.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,983,123,258

Synced: 10-08 12:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3651

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 10:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00022263

Settled at: 2026-10-08 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,128.38

OI (USD)$3,396,957,317

Mark price$82,594.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,320,315,426

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 10:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +2.469%

Change 4h +0.749%

Change 24h +0.575%

Z-score 7d 3.13 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001198%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.011%

Divergence -0.18

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.415

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.46

OI momentum 4h

-0.884%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+159 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	15h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #257801	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.419	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 45%	late 11b -2.2ATR	—	—	0.60	36%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-6.74	—	#131665	—	—	—	—	08/10 04:00 upd 08/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #259026	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.509	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 1b -0.5ATR	near 0.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	1.48	80%	↑ +0.65	below_value	-7.14	—	#132200	—	—	—	—	08/10 10:00 upd 08/10 11:05	↗
15m #258955	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.301	volatile_reversal	range_low	33%	noisy_chop 36%	early 6b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.49	52%	↑ +0.41	below_value	-7.14	—	#132200	—	—	—	—	08/10 10:45 upd 08/10 11:00	↗
5m #258954	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.764	expansion	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 39%	late 15b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.20	29%	↓ -0.55	below_value	-7.14	—	#132200	—	—	—	—	08/10 10:55 upd 08/10 11:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #185978	fresh	2026-10-08 10:00	0s	0.593	0.463	16/78	2026-10-08 11:00	2026-10-08 11:35
4h #185750	fresh	2026-10-08 04:00	3h	0.530	0.433	23/77	2026-10-08 08:00	2026-10-08 08:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	15h	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #132276	fresh	2026-10-08 10:45	0s	$83,342.35	$83,462.60	$82,468.53	hvn	-2.15	3.22
7d #132352	fresh	2026-10-08 10:00	0s	$85,515.00	$86,730.47	$84,070.20	between	-5.87	5.51
30d #131895	fresh	2026-10-08 04:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,463.93	lvn LVN	-2.07	11.22

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,731.00 → $82,099.77	0.45%	1.20	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $578.23	+1.87

Prix observé : $82,678.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,731.00 → $82,510.73	0.95%	1.61	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $167.27	+0.35
below	$86,822.20 → $87,235.00	0.47%	0.85	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,144.20	-8.58

Prix observé : $82,678.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.53	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,356.07	+9.27
above	$79,511.27 → $80,663.33	1.44%	1.45	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,014.67	+2.54
above	$81,605.93 → $82,653.27	1.28%	1.32	0.74	reversion	✓	↑ $24.7333	+0.03
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,269.33	-5.38

Prix observé : $82,678.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	11:05	11:20	-0.61%	-0.88×	0.00×	-1.11×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.61%	17.16%	0.77%	$65.59M	— / —	11:15 / —	—	100%
1h	computed	11:05	12:05	-1.78%	-2.55×	0.00×	-2.84×	5m	1h	Low first	0.74	0.00%	-1.78%	70.45%	1.98%	$759.67M	— / —	11:15 / 11:20	—	100%
4h	computed	11:05	15:05	-1.06%	-1.53×	0.00×	-3.69×	5m	2h25m	Low first	0.14	0.00%	-1.06%	67.34%	2.57%	$1.61B	— / —	11:15 / 11:20	—	100%
12h	computed	11:05	23:05	-0.47%	-0.67×	0.00×	-3.69×	5m	2h25m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	-0.47%	43.57%	2.57%	$2.23B	— / —	11:15 / 11:20	—	100%
1d	computed	11:05	11:05	+0.55%	+0.79×	+1.79×	-3.69×	20h45m	2h25m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.55%	37.36%	3.82%	$3.38B	07:45 / —	11:15 / 11:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}