Observation #23368

← Research Observations / #23368

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.182420

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,328,175

Synced: 10-08 12:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 10:00) Next (10-08 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3651

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 10:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000493%

Annualized-4.32%

Premium-0.00053944

Settled at: 2026-10-08 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)110,747,306.80

OI (USD)$20,180,374

Mark price$0.182220

Funding next-0.000725%

Day vol (USD)$8,163,762

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 10:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.142%

Change 4h -0.342%

Change 24h -2.853%

Z-score 7d 0.27

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000442%

Avg 24h -0.000429%

Percentile 7d 21.4%

Percentile 30d 7.5%

Δ 4h -0.000538%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.840%

Divergence -0.94

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.379

OI / Vol z-7d

0.08

OI momentum 4h

+0.262%

Funding +ratio 24h

56.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-08 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252868	fresh	15h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.697	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.56	85%	↓ -0.76	below_value	-6.50	—	#129708	0.58	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.39	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:18	↗
4h #257823	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.513	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 15b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.59	14%	↔ -0.06	below_value	-6.66	—	#131825	0.36	bear_high	-1.56%	-0.50	08/10 04:00 upd 08/10 08:13	↗
1h anchor #259034	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.514	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 5b -0.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	1.85	80%	↑ +0.38	below_value	-7.20	—	#132360	0.64	bear_medium	-1.86%	+0.09	08/10 10:00 upd 08/10 11:09	↗
15m #258962	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.470	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.29	22%	↑ +0.34	below_value	-6.92	—	#132208	0.65	range_low	-0.47%	-0.25	08/10 10:45 upd 08/10 11:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #185986	fresh	2026-10-08 10:00	0s	0.480	0.350	65/78	2026-10-08 11:00	2026-10-08 11:35
4h #185757	fresh	2026-10-08 04:00	3h	0.430	0.279	58/77	2026-10-08 08:00	2026-10-08 08:37
1d #184594	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	15h	0.355	0.438	71/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #132284	fresh	2026-10-08 10:45	0s	$0.183048	$0.185605	$0.181952	hvn	-0.39	2.29
7d #132360	fresh	2026-10-08 10:00	0s	$0.202198	$0.209646	$0.193396	between	-7.20	5.92
30d #131902	fresh	2026-10-08 04:00	3h	$0.218049	$0.256000	$0.173860	value	-5.85	14.32

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.180690 → $0.181620	0.51%	0.58	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000800	+0.50
below	$0.187597 → $0.188660	0.56%	0.67	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005177	-3.25

Prix observé : $0.182420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.178500 → $0.181479	1.66%	1.09	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000941	+0.34
below	$0.188792 → $0.190958	1.14%	0.79	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.006372	-2.32
below	$0.209104 → $0.211000	0.90%	0.69	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.026684	-9.72

Prix observé : $0.182420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.174900 → $0.183218	4.65%	1.45	0.63	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.186337 → $0.195694	4.90%	1.63	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003917	-0.68
below	$0.244563 → $0.256000	4.57%	1.99	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.062143	-10.83

Prix observé : $0.182420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}