Observation #23532

← Research Observations / #23532

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.166300

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $13,189,587

Synced: 10-08 14:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 12:00) Next (10-08 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0808

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 12:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001122%

Annualized-9.83%

Premium-0.00058976

Settled at: 2026-10-08 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)106,245,309.00

OI (USD)$17,735,529

Mark price$0.166930

Funding next-0.001093%

Day vol (USD)$12,691,817

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 12:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -3.582%

Change 4h -1.960%

Change 24h -4.234%

Z-score 7d -3.76 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003095%

Avg 24h -0.000479%

Percentile 7d 1.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.4%

Δ 4h -0.004266%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -8.991%

Divergence -3.68 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.453

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.18

OI momentum 4h

-1.374%

Funding +ratio 24h

52.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-08 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252868	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.697	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.56	85%	↓ -0.76	below_value	-6.50	—	#129708	0.58	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.39	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:18	↗
4h #259423	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.623	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	40%	noisy_chop 47%	late 16b -3.2ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	2.95	73%	↔ +0.07	below_value	-8.92	—	#132517	0.37	bear_high_confirmed	-3.24%	-0.92	08/10 08:00 upd 08/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #259893	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.529	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 47%	late 1b -3.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	1.50	89%	↑ +0.72	below_value	-8.91	inside	#132760	0.69	bear_medium_confirmed	-3.78%	-0.62	08/10 12:00 upd 08/10 13:09	↗
15m #259819	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.394	volatile_reversal	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 44%	late 6b -2.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.17	42%	↑ +0.43	below_value	-8.92	—	#132517	0.74	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.27%	-0.66	08/10 12:45 upd 08/10 13:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186228	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	0s	0.427	0.163	71/82	2026-10-08 13:00	2026-10-08 13:35
4h #186141	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	1h	0.379	0.029	75/82	2026-10-08 12:00	2026-10-08 12:37
1d #184594	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	17h	0.355	0.438	71/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #132679	fresh	2026-10-08 12:45	0s	$0.183113	$0.188434	$0.171226	between	-6.07	6.21
7d #132760	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	0s	$0.202129	$0.209762	$0.189546	between	-8.91	5.03
30d #132598	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	1h	$0.218049	$0.256000	$0.175939	lvn LVN	-6.68	14.02

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.164886	2.08%	1.23	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001414	+0.51
below	$0.169641 → $0.176886	4.18%	2.62	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003341	-1.21
below	$0.177792 → $0.180509	1.52%	0.98	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.011492	-4.15

Prix observé : $0.166300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.165203	2.27%	0.92	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001097	+0.27
below	$0.169329 → $0.177993	4.99%	2.16	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003029	-0.75

Prix observé : $0.166300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.173860 → $0.182178	4.67%	1.46	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.007560	-1.32
below	$0.186337 → $0.195694	4.90%	1.64	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.020037	-3.51
below	$0.244563 → $0.256000	4.57%	2.00	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.078263	-13.71

Prix observé : $0.166300. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T16:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T16:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}