Observation #23755

← Research Observations / #23755

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.7958

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,406,580

Synced: 10-08 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-08 14:00) Next (10-08 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0628

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 14:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000209%

Annualized-1.83%

Premium-0.00051675

Settled at: 2026-10-08 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)6,017,119.40

OI (USD)$10,821,789

Mark price$1.7985

Funding next-0.000154%

Day vol (USD)$4,414,264

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 14:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.550%

Change 4h -2.651%

Change 24h +8.597%

Z-score 7d -0.60

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000027%

Avg 24h -0.000812%

Percentile 7d 25.0%

Percentile 30d 31.3%

Δ 4h -0.001277%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.452%

Divergence -0.28

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.417

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.71

OI momentum 4h

-5.175%

Funding +ratio 24h

32.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-08 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #253114	fresh	19h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.568	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 39b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.81	72%	↓ -0.44	below_value	-8.06	—	#129762	0.47	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.85	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:29	↗
4h #259544	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.537	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 44%	late 8b -2.4ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	3.59	90%	↑ +0.16	below_value	-9.58	—	#132571	0.35	bear_high_confirmed	-3.24%	-0.75	08/10 08:00 upd 08/10 12:18	↗
1h anchor #260765	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.256	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	near -2.7ATR	—	0.33	38%	↑ +0.59	below_value	-8.13	inside	#133146	0.57	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.99%	-0.14	08/10 14:00 upd 08/10 15:11	↗
15m #260684	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.393	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 43%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.13	59%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-9.47	—	#132978	0.75	bear_medium	-1.28%	-0.25	08/10 14:45 upd 08/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186448	fresh	2026-10-08 14:00	0s	0.501	0.298	35/83	2026-10-08 15:00	2026-10-08 15:37
4h #186192	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	3h	0.489	0.099	33/82	2026-10-08 12:00	2026-10-08 12:39
1d #184648	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	19h	0.248	0.225	79/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #133062	fresh	2026-10-08 14:45	0s	$1.8492	$1.8780	$1.7800	value	-2.78	5.10
7d #133146	fresh	2026-10-08 14:00	0s	$2.0492	$2.2142	$1.9014	between	-8.13	10.03
30d #132652	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	3h	$2.0486	$2.1535	$1.9438	between	-4.11	4.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7344 → $1.7492	0.85%	0.77	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.046632	+2.43
below	$1.8780 → $1.8955	0.93%	0.91	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.082247	-4.28

Prix observé : $1.7958. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.7343	2.00%	1.10	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.061520	+1.97
below	$1.9014 → $1.9785	3.98%	2.47	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $0.105595	-3.39
below	$2.1971 → $2.2142	0.78%	0.55	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.401260	-12.87

Prix observé : $1.7958. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.7000 → $1.8268	7.19%	2.51	0.94	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $1.7958. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}