Observation #23944

← Research Observations / #23944

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,665.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,612,988,396

Synced: 10-08 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 17:00) Next (10-08 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6961

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 17:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000773%

Annualized6.77%

Premium-0.00043818

Settled at: 2026-10-08 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,843.47

OI (USD)$3,254,415,015

Mark price$81,680.00

Funding next0.000770%

Day vol (USD)$3,605,715,751

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.092%

Change 4h -0.400%

Change 24h +0.854%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000671%

Avg 24h 0.001151%

Percentile 7d 5.4%

Percentile 30d 15.3%

Δ 4h -0.000144%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.171%

Divergence 2.32 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.909

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.73

OI momentum 4h

-1.799%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+166 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #261109	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.419	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -2.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	2.14	93%	↑ +0.35	below_value	-6.61	—	#133083	—	—	—	—	08/10 12:00 upd 08/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #262012	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.416	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	53%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b -0.9ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.26	34%	↑ +0.34	below_value	-6.57	inside	#133504	—	—	—	—	08/10 17:00 upd 08/10 18:05	↗
15m #261941	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.379	compression	bear_low	48%	noisy_chop 40%	late 18b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.47	50%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-6.57	—	#133504	—	—	—	—	08/10 17:45 upd 08/10 18:00	↗
5m #261940	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.527	compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 41%	early 7b -0.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.2ATR	1.47	58%	↓ -0.40	below_value	-6.57	—	#133504	—	—	—	—	08/10 17:55 upd 08/10 18:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186720	fresh	2026-10-08 17:00	0s	0.546	0.454	22/83	2026-10-08 18:00	2026-10-08 18:35
4h #186551	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	2h	0.634	0.428	9/84	2026-10-08 16:00	2026-10-08 16:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	22h	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #133589	fresh	2026-10-08 17:45	0s	$81,410.75	$82,575.17	$80,612.67	value	1.04	8.04
7d #133673	fresh	2026-10-08 17:00	0s	$85,542.68	$86,890.80	$83,391.43	lvn LVN	-7.10	6.41
30d #133335	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,673.40	value	-2.91	9.60

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,665.00	0.39%	1.29	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,000.00	+4.09
below	$81,921.00 → $82,051.83	0.16%	0.54	0.34	reversion	—	↓ $256.00	-1.05
below	$83,255.50 → $83,491.00	0.28%	0.96	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,590.50	-6.51

Prix observé : $81,665.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,809.93	0.57%	0.84	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $855.07	+1.57
inside	$81,383.60 → $81,670.43	0.35%	0.53	0.54	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$81,842.53 → $82,186.73	0.42%	0.63	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↓ $177.53	-0.33
below	$86,890.80 → $87,235.00	0.40%	0.63	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,225.80	-9.57

Prix observé : $81,665.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.58	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,238.33	+6.89
above	$79,406.53 → $80,558.60	1.44%	1.27	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $1,106.40	+1.22
inside	$81,605.93 → $82,548.53	1.15%	1.04	0.65	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.58	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,282.33	-5.83

Prix observé : $81,665.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	18:05	18:20	+0.14%	+0.22×	+0.29×	0.00×	15m	5m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.14%	3.92%	0.19%	$6.42M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	18:05	19:05	+0.23%	+0.35×	+0.46×	0.00×	45m	5m	High first	0.48	0.00%	+0.23%	19.04%	0.29%	$56.13M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	18:05	22:05	+0.37%	+0.58×	+0.64×	-0.23×	4h	3h20m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+0.37%	22.02%	0.56%	$192.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	18:05	06:05	+1.19%	+1.85×	+1.99×	-0.23×	10h55m	3h20m	Low first	0.16	0.00%	+1.19%	21.57%	1.43%	$757.79M	22:50 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	18:05	18:05	+0.88%	+1.37×	+3.47×	-0.23×	13h45m	3h20m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.88%	26.30%	2.38%	$1.91B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T21:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}