Observation #24036

← Research Observations / #24036

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.173590

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $14,073,127

Synced: 10-08 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 18:00) Next (10-08 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6232

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 18:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000478%

Annualized4.19%

Premium-0.00046174

Settled at: 2026-10-08 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)99,408,588.40

OI (USD)$17,276,219

Mark price$0.173790

Funding next0.000553%

Day vol (USD)$14,230,903

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.140%

Change 4h -5.391%

Change 24h -9.343%

Z-score 7d 0.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000324%

Avg 24h -0.000644%

Percentile 7d 17.3%

Percentile 30d 4.7%

Δ 4h +0.000098%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +3.009%

Divergence 3.57 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.224

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.40

OI momentum 4h

-2.094%

Funding +ratio 24h

36.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-08 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252868	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.697	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.56	85%	↓ -0.76	below_value	-6.50	—	#129708	0.58	bull_high	+10.10%	-0.39	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:18	↗
4h #261127	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.509	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	40%	noisy_chop 45%	late 17b -2.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	1.54	51%	↑ +0.16	below_value	-7.55	—	#133259	0.37	bear_high_confirmed	-2.32%	-0.88	08/10 12:00 upd 08/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #262435	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.509	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 47%	early 6b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.34	29%	↑ +0.36	below_value	-7.86	inside	#133849	0.70	bear_medium	-2.34%	-0.52	08/10 18:00 upd 08/10 19:09	↗
15m #262360	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.451	compression	bear_high	65%	choppy 55%	late 22b 1.4ATR	—	—	0.10	3%	↓ -0.88	below_value	-7.68	—	#133681	0.76	range_low	-0.55%	+0.43	08/10 18:45 upd 08/10 19:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186811	fresh	2026-10-08 18:00	0s	0.469	0.354	49/83	2026-10-08 19:00	2026-10-08 19:35
4h #186559	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	3h	0.412	0.175	72/84	2026-10-08 16:00	2026-10-08 16:37
1d #184594	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	23h	0.355	0.438	71/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #133765	fresh	2026-10-08 18:45	0s	$0.183113	$0.188434	$0.168056	value	-6.35	13.59
7d #133849	fresh	2026-10-08 18:00	0s	$0.202129	$0.209762	$0.187070	lvn LVN	-7.86	6.25
30d #133343	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	3h	$0.218049	$0.256000	$0.174900	between	-6.92	11.53

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.162622	0.70%	0.76	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010968	+7.32
below	$0.174622 → $0.177113	1.42%	1.66	0.66	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001032	-0.69
below	$0.177566 → $0.180509	1.64%	1.96	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $0.003976	-2.65

Prix observé : $0.173590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.163553	1.27%	0.57	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010037	+2.76
inside	$0.169742 → $0.178818	5.21%	2.50	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.173590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.173860 → $0.182178	4.67%	1.18	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000270	-0.04
below	$0.186337 → $0.195694	4.90%	1.33	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.012747	-1.81
below	$0.244563 → $0.256000	4.57%	1.63	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.070973	-10.09

Prix observé : $0.173590. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T22:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}