Observation #24249

← Research Observations / #24249

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.192420

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,880,177

Synced: 10-08 22:01 +1h

← Prev (10-08 20:00) Next (10-08 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.353

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 20:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00025924

Settled at: 2026-10-08 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)84,633,622.00

OI (USD)$16,320,748

Mark price$0.192840

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,899,966

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.049%

Change 4h +0.197%

Change 24h +0.928%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.223%

Divergence -0.32

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.365

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.00

OI momentum 4h

+1.872%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+518 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 167 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #263140	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.621	expansion_after_compression	range_high	36%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 9b -1.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.91	83%	↓ -0.26	below_value	-9.98	—	#134063	0.58	bull_high	+7.83%	-0.17	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:26	↗
4h #262991	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.288	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 50%	late 23b -2.6ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.26	11%	↑ +0.35	below_value	-9.98	—	#134063	0.72	bear_high_confirmed	-2.31%	-0.52	08/10 16:00 upd 08/10 20:19	↗
1h anchor #263491	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.278	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 7b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.39	51%	↓ -0.49	below_value	-10.16	inside	#134313	0.68	bear_medium	-2.35%	-0.19	08/10 20:00 upd 08/10 21:10	↗
15m #263413	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.657	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.91	42%	↔ -0.09	below_value	-9.98	—	#134063	0.86	range_low	-0.56%	+0.05	08/10 20:45 upd 08/10 21:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #187188	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	0.473	0.337	28/82	2026-10-08 21:00	2026-10-08 21:36
4h #187023	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	1h	0.439	0.272	37/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:38
1d #187106	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	1h	0.383	0.410	53/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #134230	fresh	2026-10-08 20:45	0s	$0.199056	$0.202100	$0.189924	value	-8.12	14.90
7d #134313	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	$0.215435	$0.227180	$0.203691	between	-10.16	10.37
30d #134147	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	1h	$0.218062	$0.235132	$0.198824	between	-5.64	8.23

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.185110 → $0.186243	0.61%	1.39	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006177	+7.55
below	$0.193463 → $0.195021	0.80%	1.91	0.61	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001043	-1.28
below	$0.195587 → $0.196437	0.43%	1.04	0.83	reversion	✓	↓ $0.003167	-3.87
below	$0.200543 → $0.202100	0.77%	1.91	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008123	-9.94

Prix observé : $0.192420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.185110 → $0.187213	1.13%	0.93	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005207	+2.30
below	$0.192823 → $0.196329	1.80%	1.55	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000403	-0.18
below	$0.204041 → $0.205794	0.86%	0.77	0.57	reversion	✓	↓ $0.011621	-5.13
below	$0.207547 → $0.210703	1.51%	1.39	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $0.015127	-6.68

Prix observé : $0.192420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172270 → $0.177689	3.10%	1.23	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014731	+3.34
above	$0.180399 → $0.184192	2.08%	0.86	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.008228	+1.87
below	$0.204243 → $0.206953	1.32%	0.61	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.011823	-2.68
below	$0.232965 → $0.237300	1.84%	0.98	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.040545	-9.19

Prix observé : $0.192420. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}