Observation #24447

← Research Observations / #24447

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,391.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,553,335,709

Synced: 10-09 01:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 23:00) Next (10-09 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.75

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 23:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00033789

Settled at: 2026-10-09 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,290.02

OI (USD)$3,237,458,592

Mark price$82,399.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,679,052,155

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.379%

Change 4h -2.156%

Change 24h -0.701%

Z-score 7d -2.99 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001005%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000183%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.830%

Divergence 2.88 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.868

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.74

OI momentum 4h

-2.656%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+172 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #264669	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.359	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.57	39%	↑ +0.33	below_value	-7.34	—	#134595	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #264668	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.289	normal	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 10b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.23	23%	↓ -0.45	below_value	-7.34	—	#134595	—	—	—	—	08/10 23:00 upd 09/10 00:05	↗
15m #264598	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.616	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	late 3b 2.2ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	1.96	76%	↑ +0.52	below_value	-7.34	—	#134595	—	—	—	—	08/10 23:45 upd 09/10 00:00	↗
5m #264597	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.690	normal	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 46%	late 11b 2.2ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	2.44	80%	↑ +0.30	below_value	-7.34	—	#134595	—	—	—	—	08/10 23:55 upd 09/10 00:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #187383	fresh	2026-10-08 23:00	0s	0.531	0.485	20/83	2026-10-09 00:00	2026-10-09 00:35
4h #187466	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	0.548	0.452	13/83	2026-10-09 00:00	2026-10-09 00:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	4h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #134679	fresh	2026-10-08 23:45	0s	$81,768.65	$83,016.67	$81,296.10	value	3.29	9.09
7d #134763	fresh	2026-10-08 23:00	0s	$85,600.05	$86,833.43	$83,161.97	between	-6.79	7.77
30d #134847	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	lvn LVN	-2.25	9.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,738.73	0.48%	2.05	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,652.27	+8.73
below	$82,968.20 → $83,259.00	0.35%	1.54	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $577.20	-3.05

Prix observé : $82,391.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,867.30	0.64%	1.09	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,523.70	+3.22
above	$81,039.40 → $81,613.07	0.71%	1.21	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $777.93	+1.65
below	$86,776.07 → $87,235.00	0.53%	0.97	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,385.07	-9.28

Prix observé : $82,391.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.60	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,964.33	+7.98
above	$79,301.80 → $80,663.33	1.70%	1.56	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $1,727.67	+1.98
inside	$81,920.13 → $82,653.27	0.89%	0.84	0.63	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.60	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,556.33	-5.22

Prix observé : $82,391.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	00:05	00:20	+0.08%	+0.14×	+0.15×	-0.09×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.08%	10.00%	0.13%	$13.28M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	00:05	01:05	-0.16%	-0.29×	+0.15×	-0.54×	15m	50m	High first	0.31	0.00%	-0.16%	18.37%	0.38%	$44.79M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	00:05	04:05	+0.20%	+0.36×	+0.44×	-0.54×	2h45m	50m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.20%	21.13%	0.55%	$213.42M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	00:05	12:05	+0.45%	+0.80×	+2.31×	-0.54×	7h45m	50m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.45%	30.35%	1.60%	$1.09B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	00:05	00:05	+0.26%	+0.47×	+2.31×	-0.54×	7h45m	50m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.26%	24.34%	1.60%	$1.58B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T03:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}