Observation #24699

← Research Observations / #24699

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,543.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,463,171,882

Synced: 10-09 04:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7971

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 02:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034187

Settled at: 2026-10-09 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,086.00

OI (USD)$3,225,337,873

Mark price$82,519.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,536,720,098

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.809%

Change 4h -2.733%

Change 24h -1.762%

Z-score 7d 0.87

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001005%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.001087%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.556%

Divergence 2.83 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.904

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.71

OI momentum 4h

-3.392%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+175 crowded

Time: 2026-10-09 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #264669	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.359	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.57	39%	↑ +0.33	below_value	-7.34	—	#134595	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #265994	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.405	normal	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 39%	late 13b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.31	39%	↓ -0.67	below_value	-7.12	—	#135183	—	—	—	—	09/10 02:00 upd 09/10 03:05	↗
15m #265920	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.702	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 46%	late 4b 1.7ATR	—	near -1.7ATR	0.71	43%	↓ -0.43	below_value	-7.12	—	#135183	—	—	—	—	09/10 02:45 upd 09/10 03:00	↗
5m #265919	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.516	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 2b 1.6ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.17	1%	↓ -0.31	below_value	-7.12	—	#135183	—	—	—	—	09/10 02:55 upd 09/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #187714	fresh	2026-10-09 02:00	0s	0.518	0.492	25/83	2026-10-09 03:00	2026-10-09 03:35
4h #187466	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	3h	0.548	0.452	13/83	2026-10-09 00:00	2026-10-09 00:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	7h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #135267	fresh	2026-10-09 02:45	0s	$82,447.18	$82,701.63	$81,150.70	value	0.59	9.60
7d #135351	fresh	2026-10-09 02:00	0s	$85,600.05	$86,833.43	$83,047.23	between	-6.84	8.48
30d #134847	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	lvn LVN	-2.25	9.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,641.80	0.36%	1.80	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,901.20	+11.76
below	$82,725.87 → $82,919.73	0.23%	1.20	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $182.87	-1.13
below	$83,016.67 → $83,259.00	0.29%	1.50	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $473.67	-2.93

Prix observé : $82,543.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,867.30	0.64%	1.16	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,675.70	+3.75
above	$81,039.40 → $81,613.07	0.71%	1.28	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $929.93	+2.08
below	$86,776.07 → $87,235.00	0.53%	1.03	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,233.07	-9.48

Prix observé : $82,543.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.60	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,116.33	+8.16
above	$79,301.80 → $80,663.33	1.70%	1.56	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $1,879.67	+2.16
inside	$81,920.13 → $82,653.27	0.89%	0.84	0.63	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.60	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,404.33	-5.05

Prix observé : $82,543.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.10×	-0.10×	10m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.01%	0.28%	0.10%	$10.81M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	+0.11%	+0.20×	+0.25×	-0.14×	1h	50m	Low first	0.18	0.00%	+0.11%	21.23%	0.20%	$35.44M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.04%	-0.08×	+0.49×	-0.37×	1h55m	3h40m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.04%	19.27%	0.44%	$187.60M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-0.04%	-0.08×	+2.32×	-0.61×	4h45m	11h35m	High first	0.00	0.00%	-0.04%	30.95%	1.51%	$1.13B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+0.21%	+0.41×	+2.32×	-0.67×	4h45m	12h50m	High first	0.02	0.00%	+0.21%	23.54%	1.54%	$1.46B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}