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← Research Observations / #24769
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
02:00–03:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
03:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
04:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.085161
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $22,050,320
Synced: 10-09 04:02 +1h
← Prev (10-09 02:00) Next (10-09 04:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.7971
evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 02:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.000498%
Annualized4.36%
Premium-0.00046016
Settled at: 2026-10-09 03:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)701,209,604.00
OI (USD)$59,678,547
Mark price$0.085108
Funding next0.000492%
Day vol (USD)$22,182,775
Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.120%
Change 4h -0.462%
Change 24h -11.782%
Z-score 7d 0.04
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000352%
Percentile 7d 98.8% top
Percentile 30d 82.1%
Δ 4h +0.001436%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +1.021%
Divergence 0.64
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.642
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.83
OI momentum 4h
+0.045%
Funding +ratio 24h
76.0%
Sign streak
+4
Time: 2026-10-09 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#263173
 fresh 7h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.522 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% mid 13b -1.1ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.67 86% ↓ -0.41 below_value -7.89 — #134079 0.54 bull_high +7.83% -0.85
07/10 20:00
upd 08/10 20:28
 ↗
4h
#264849
 fresh 3h ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.668 normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% mid 24b -1.3ATR — — 0.27 12% ↔ -0.09 below_value -8.72 — #134833 0.53 bear_high_confirmed -1.48% -0.65
08/10 20:00
upd 09/10 00:19
 ↗
1h anchor
#266064
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.246 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% mid 15b 0.3ATR — — 0.16 10% ↓ -0.82 below_value -9.03 inside #135421 0.61 bear_medium -1.23% -0.16
09/10 02:00
upd 09/10 03:11
 ↗
15m
#265982
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.696 compression range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 41% early 5b 0.9ATR — — 0.75 29% ↓ -0.33 below_value -8.32 — #135253 0.77 range_low +0.38% +0.04
09/10 02:45
upd 09/10 03:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#187783
 fresh 2026-10-09 02:00 0s 0.480 0.439 48/83 2026-10-09 03:00 2026-10-09 03:37
4h
#187535
 fresh 2026-10-08 20:00 3h 0.422 0.273 66/83 2026-10-09 00:00 2026-10-09 00:39
1d
#187121
 fresh 2026-10-07 20:00 7h 0.283 0.240 80/83 2026-10-08 20:00 2026-10-08 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#135337
 fresh 2026-10-09 02:45 0s $0.080896 $0.084598 $0.080501 between 9.95 9.56
7d
#135421
 fresh 2026-10-09 02:00 0s $0.095756 $0.103231 $0.088481 between -9.03 12.58
30d
#134917
 fresh 2026-10-08 20:00 3h $0.096419 $0.106884 $0.079390 value -4.48 10.30

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.079710 → $0.080429 0.90% 1.68 0.46 continuation_down — ↑ $0.004732 +11.03
above $0.084670 → $0.084957 0.34% 0.67 0.55 continuation_up ✓ ↑ $0.000204 +0.48
below $0.087114 → $0.088336 1.39% 2.85 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.001953 -4.56

Prix observé : $0.085161. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.079710 → $0.081703 2.47% 1.70 0.46 continuation_down — ↑ $0.003458 +2.95
above $0.083099 → $0.084295 1.43% 1.02 0.51 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.000866 +0.74
below $0.101238 → $0.103630 2.34% 2.04 0.58 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.016077 -13.71

Prix observé : $0.085161. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080210 4.71% 1.38 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004951 +1.86
below $0.117142 → $0.125760 7.10% 3.23 0.70 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.031981 -11.98

Prix observé : $0.085161. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}