Observation #25309

← Research Observations / #25309

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$12.7440

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,237,448

Synced: 10-09 11:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-09 09:00) Next (10-09 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1905

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 09:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000239%

Annualized-2.10%

Premium-0.00051914

Settled at: 2026-10-09 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,605,594.00

OI (USD)$71,493,746

Mark price$12.7540

Funding next-0.000251%

Day vol (USD)$12,905,465

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.271%

Change 4h +0.168%

Change 24h +0.488%

Z-score 7d -0.40

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000107%

Avg 24h 0.000240%

Percentile 7d 19.0%

Percentile 30d 11.7%

Δ 4h +0.000074%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.186%

Divergence -0.97

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.433

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.60

OI momentum 4h

+0.389%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-09 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262978	fresh	14h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.703	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.67	86%	↓ -0.24	below_value	-8.88	—	#134024	0.82	bull_high	+7.83%	+0.27	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:19	↗
4h #268176	fresh	2h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.501	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 45%	early 4b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.74	41%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-9.33	—	#136295	0.72	range_high	-0.47%	-0.35	09/10 04:00 upd 09/10 08:14	↗
1h anchor #269063	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.590	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 43%	early 2b -0.8ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.43	13%	↓ -0.21	below_value	-10.57	—	#136722	0.68	bear_medium	-1.05%	+0.22	09/10 09:00 upd 09/10 10:11	↗
15m #268990	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.664	expansion	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 45%	late 8b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.27	24%	↑ +0.34	below_value	-9.99	—	#136551	0.81	range_low	+0.20%	-0.10	09/10 09:45 upd 09/10 10:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #188485	fresh	2026-10-09 09:00	0s	0.425	0.391	61/85	2026-10-09 10:00	2026-10-09 10:35
4h #188314	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	2h	0.464	0.321	30/85	2026-10-09 08:00	2026-10-09 08:38
1d #187067	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	14h	0.380	0.424	57/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #136637	fresh	2026-10-09 09:45	0s	$12.7633	$12.9617	$12.4247	hvn	-0.35	9.87
7d #136722	fresh	2026-10-09 09:00	0s	$14.1639	$14.2848	$13.3548	between	-10.57	6.93
30d #136380	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	2h	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.5932	value	-5.14	9.68

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.0900 → $12.2068	0.96%	2.15	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.537250	+9.87
above	$12.2379 → $12.2924	0.44%	1.00	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.451633	+8.30
above	$12.5570 → $12.5881	0.25%	0.57	0.57	reversion	✓	↑ $0.155867	+2.86
below	$12.9617 → $13.0240	0.48%	1.14	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.217733	-4.00

Prix observé : $12.7440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.0900 → $12.3132	1.83%	1.66	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.430800	+3.21
above	$12.4062 → $12.7038	2.37%	2.22	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.040200	+0.30

Prix observé : $12.7440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.2164	5.52%	2.15	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.5277	+5.46
above	$11.8617 → $12.0769	1.80%	0.77	0.39	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.667150	+2.38
below	$15.3037 → $15.7770	3.05%	1.69	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2.5597	-9.14

Prix observé : $12.7440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}