Observation #25339

← Research Observations / #25339

🪙 TAO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TAO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$273.04

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $22,946,674

Synced: 10-09 11:01 +1h

← Prev (10-09 09:00) Next (10-09 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TAO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1905

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 09:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00026463

Settled at: 2026-10-09 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)224,512.47

OI (USD)$61,327,825

Mark price$273.16

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$23,701,670

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.168%

Change 4h -0.867%

Change 24h -8.456%

Z-score 7d -0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001135%

Percentile 7d 93.5%

Percentile 30d 76.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.850%

Divergence 0.01

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.585

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.11

OI momentum 4h

-0.817%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+21 crowded

Time: 2026-10-09 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #263117	fresh	14h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.698	volatile_reversal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.71	78%	↓ -0.63	below_value	-6.69	—	#134054	0.64	bull_high	+7.83%	+0.54	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:25	↗
4h #268247	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.424	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.49	23%	↔ -0.15	below_value	-7.16	inside	#136324	0.58	range_high	-0.47%	-0.55	09/10 04:00 upd 09/10 08:17	↗
1h anchor #269092	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.586	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	early 3b -0.4ATR	—	—	1.72	76%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-7.80	—	#136751	0.71	bear_medium	-1.05%	+0.37	09/10 09:00 upd 09/10 10:12	↗
15m #269014	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.522	volatile_reversal	range_medium	33%	noisy_chop 42%	early 3b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.46	42%	↑ +0.45	below_value	-7.40	—	#136580	0.82	range_low	+0.20%	-0.08	09/10 09:45 upd 09/10 10:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #188515	fresh	2026-10-09 09:00	0s	0.457	0.375	40/85	2026-10-09 10:00	2026-10-09 10:36
4h #188343	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	2h	0.429	0.299	40/85	2026-10-09 08:00	2026-10-09 08:38
1d #187097	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	14h	0.355	0.416	65/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #136666	fresh	2026-10-09 09:45	0s	$265.40	$272.39	$257.45	between	5.04	9.85
7d #136751	fresh	2026-10-09 09:00	0s	$303.81	$309.46	$287.82	between	-7.80	5.49
30d #136409	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	2h	$306.78	$331.87	$278.48	between	-3.91	6.06

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$254.37 → $255.56	0.47%	0.78	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $17.4842	+11.52
below	$276.90 → $282.83	2.12%	3.91	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3.8608	-2.54

Prix observé : $273.04. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$254.37 → $258.80	1.73%	1.12	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $14.2428	+3.61
above	$261.75 → $266.18	1.68%	1.12	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6.8640	+1.74
below	$310.45 → $313.40	0.95%	0.75	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $37.4085	-9.48

Prix observé : $273.04. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$213.34 → $229.36	7.24%	1.82	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $43.6825	+4.96
above	$240.04 → $245.38	2.20%	0.61	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $27.6650	+3.14
below	$334.01 → $341.48	2.21%	0.85	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $60.9652	-6.92

Prix observé : $273.04. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}