Observation #25458

← Research Observations / #25458

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,853.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,341,831,290

Synced: 10-09 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-09 11:00) Next (10-09 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.282

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 11:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000955%

Annualized8.36%

Premium-0.00042362

Settled at: 2026-10-09 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,673.10

OI (USD)$3,202,171,597

Mark price$82,801.00

Funding next0.001002%

Day vol (USD)$2,772,171,349

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.145%

Change 4h -0.308%

Change 24h -5.365%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001155%

Avg 24h 0.000853%

Percentile 7d 26.8%

Percentile 30d 30.4%

Δ 4h +0.001451%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.433%

Divergence -0.20

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.953

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.68

OI momentum 4h

-0.195%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-09 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #269895	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.354	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 46%	early 5b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.90	69%	↔ +0.06	value	-5.15	—	#136878	—	—	—	—	09/10 08:00 upd 09/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #269894	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.689	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b 0.9ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.46	27%	↑ +0.18	value	-5.15	—	#136878	—	—	—	—	09/10 11:00 upd 09/10 12:05	↗
15m #269825	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.700	volatile_reversal	range_low	34%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b 0.0ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.55	55%	↓ -0.47	value	-5.15	—	#136878	—	—	—	—	09/10 11:45 upd 09/10 12:00	↗
5m #269824	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.649	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 17b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.63	59%	↓ -0.73	value	-5.15	—	#136878	—	—	—	—	09/10 11:55 upd 09/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #188640	fresh	2026-10-09 11:00	0s	0.510	0.483	25/79	2026-10-09 12:00	2026-10-09 12:35
4h #188719	fresh	2026-10-09 08:00	0s	0.547	0.446	11/79	2026-10-09 12:00	2026-10-09 12:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	16h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #136964	fresh	2026-10-09 11:45	0s	$82,463.45	$83,421.28	$81,505.63	value	1.61	7.91
7d #137042	fresh	2026-10-09 11:00	0s	$85,634.54	$86,713.38	$82,840.63	value	-5.85	8.15
30d #137120	fresh	2026-10-09 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,987.60	value	-1.41	9.56

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,613.42	0.33%	1.08	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,239.58	+9.25
above	$82,082.95 → $82,292.88	0.26%	0.87	0.52	reversion	✓	↑ $560.12	+2.31
below	$83,290.07 → $83,500.00	0.25%	0.87	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $437.07	-1.80

Prix observé : $82,853.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,904.25	0.69%	1.16	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,948.75	+4.10
above	$81,014.90 → $81,623.48	0.75%	1.28	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,229.52	+2.59
below	$86,658.05 → $86,990.00	0.38%	0.70	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,805.05	-8.01

Prix observé : $82,853.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.60	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,426.33	+8.48
above	$78,778.13 → $80,558.60	2.23%	2.03	0.72	reversion	✓	↑ $2,294.40	+2.62
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.60	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,094.33	-4.67

Prix observé : $82,853.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	+0.05%	+0.10×	+0.36×	0.00×	15m	5m	High first	0.55	0.00%	+0.05%	22.67%	0.20%	$8.66M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	-0.15%	-0.28×	+0.36×	-0.31×	15m	25m	High first	0.23	0.00%	-0.15%	25.27%	0.37%	$79.77M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	-0.62%	-1.12×	+0.36×	-1.24×	15m	3h50m	High first	0.25	0.00%	-0.62%	21.99%	0.90%	$271.96M	— / —	14:35 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	-0.19%	-0.34×	+0.36×	-1.24×	15m	3h50m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.19%	16.42%	0.90%	$492.22M	— / —	14:35 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	+0.26%	+0.46×	+0.56×	-1.24×	22h35m	3h50m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.26%	13.95%	1.01%	$844.10M	— / —	14:35 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T15:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}