Observation #257

← Research Observations / #257

🪙 OP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 OP

Market snapshot at

2026-09-26 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.143310

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,008,800

Synced: 09-26 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-26 01:00) Next (09-26 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · OP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3731

evaluated_at: 2026-09-26 01:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000455

Settled at: 2026-09-26 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)27,237,813.80

OI (USD)$3,909,171

Mark price$0.143520

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,019,858

Snapshot at: 2026-09-26 01:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.743%

Change 4h -0.447%

Change 24h -9.647%

Z-score 7d -0.39

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001247%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.445%

Divergence -0.30

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.953

OI / Vol z-7d

0.39

OI momentum 4h

+2.368%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+29 crowded

Time: 2026-09-26 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #136055	fresh	6h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.477	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	67%	noisy_chop 45%	late 9b 2.5ATR	—	—	1.52	98%	↑ +0.63	above_value	+6.05	—	#79208	0.61	bull_high_confirmed	+14.79%	+0.99	24/09 20:00 upd 25/09 20:16	↗
4h #137745	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.692	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 10b 1.7ATR	—	—	0.35	44%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+5.70	inside	#79955	0.47	bull_high	+3.31%	+0.86	25/09 20:00 upd 26/09 00:12	↗
1h anchor #138637	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.731	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	70%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 0.7ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.21	8%	↓ -0.49	above_value	+5.76	inside	#80371	0.36	range_medium	-0.22%	+0.59	26/09 01:00 upd 26/09 02:09	↗
15m #138560	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.552	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.26	17%	↔ -0.03	above_value	+6.22	—	#80204	0.56	range_low	-0.16%	-0.13	26/09 01:45 upd 26/09 02:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #156316	fresh	2026-09-26 01:00	0s	0.612	0.662	16/83	2026-09-26 02:00	2026-09-26 02:35
4h #156152	fresh	2026-09-25 20:00	2h	0.620	0.765	28/82	2026-09-26 00:00	2026-09-26 00:37
1d #155742	fresh	2026-09-24 20:00	6h	0.774	0.967	20/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #80287	fresh	2026-09-26 01:45	0s	$0.141171	$0.145820	$0.136675	value	1.73	7.38
7d #80371	fresh	2026-09-26 01:00	0s	$0.126047	$0.133293	$0.120382	lvn LVN	5.76	4.31
30d #80038	fresh	2026-09-25 20:00	2h	$0.097665	$0.124859	$0.085549	lvn LVN	7.68	6.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.131340 → $0.134998	2.75%	2.95	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008312	+6.71

Prix observé : $0.143310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.118010 → $0.119591	1.33%	0.53	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023719	+7.92
inside	$0.143043 → $0.145151	1.46%	0.70	0.76	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.145678 → $0.149630	2.68%	1.32	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002368	-0.79

Prix observé : $0.143310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.113551 → $0.118936	4.63%	0.90	0.75	reversion	✓	↑ $0.024374	+4.09
inside	$0.139937 → $0.149630	6.69%	1.63	0.81	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.143310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T05:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T05:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}