Observation #25763

← Research Observations / #25763

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,283.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,925,649,197

Synced: 10-09 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-09 15:00) Next (10-09 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2628

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 15:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000595%

Annualized-5.21%

Premium-0.00054762

Settled at: 2026-10-09 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,591.88

OI (USD)$3,175,918,719

Mark price$82,295.00

Funding next-0.000590%

Day vol (USD)$1,994,590,467

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.048%

Change 4h -1.171%

Change 24h -3.389%

Z-score 7d -0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000414%

Avg 24h 0.000684%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 3.2%

Δ 4h -0.001570%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.688%

Divergence -0.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.540

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.36

OI momentum 4h

-0.863%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-09 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #271453	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.347	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 47%	early 6b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.50	32%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-7.16	—	#137580	—	—	—	—	09/10 12:00 upd 09/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #271452	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.637	compression	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 8b -0.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.17	8%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-7.16	—	#137580	—	—	—	—	09/10 15:00 upd 09/10 16:05	↗
15m #271391	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.439	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	late 4b -1.9ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.15	57%	↔ -0.13	below_value	-7.16	—	#137580	—	—	—	—	09/10 15:45 upd 09/10 16:00	↗
5m #271390	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.532	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 40%	late 13b -1.9ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.46	29%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-7.16	—	#137580	—	—	—	—	09/10 15:55 upd 09/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #189024	fresh	2026-10-09 15:00	0s	0.476	0.463	24/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:35
4h #189099	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	0s	0.507	0.411	15/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	20h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #137656	fresh	2026-10-09 15:45	0s	$82,502.16	$83,289.08	$82,250.68	value	-1.21	5.74
7d #137732	fresh	2026-10-09 15:00	0s	$85,634.54	$86,713.38	$82,729.98	between	-7.63	9.07
30d #137808	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$79,197.07	value	-1.86	9.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,104.65 → $82,266.90	0.20%	0.90	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $16.1000	+0.09
below	$83,289.08 → $83,500.00	0.25%	1.17	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,006.08	-5.56

Prix observé : $82,283.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,848.93	0.62%	1.13	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,434.08	+3.27
above	$81,070.23 → $81,346.85	0.34%	0.63	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $936.15	+2.13
below	$84,223.75 → $84,445.05	0.26%	0.50	0.46	reversion	—	↓ $1,940.75	-4.42
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	0.63	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,430.38	-10.09

Prix observé : $82,283.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.61	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,856.33	+7.93
above	$78,673.40 → $80,453.87	2.24%	2.06	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $1,829.13	+2.12
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.61	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,664.33	-5.39

Prix observé : $82,283.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	+0.10%	+0.20×	+0.27×	-0.03×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.10%	15.31%	0.15%	$11.15M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	+0.29%	+0.56×	+0.57×	-0.03×	1h	5m	Low first	0.81	0.00%	+0.29%	13.74%	0.31%	$48.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	+0.33%	+0.63×	+0.85×	-0.03×	3h15m	5m	Low first	0.23	0.00%	+0.33%	14.27%	0.45%	$123.89M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+0.60%	+1.16×	+1.33×	-0.03×	10h45m	5m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+0.60%	12.33%	0.70%	$307.39M	21:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	+0.95%	+1.84×	+2.05×	-0.03×	21h35m	5m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+0.95%	11.37%	1.07%	$813.79M	21:25 / 13:35	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}