Observation #25767

← Research Observations / #25767

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.1240

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,182,554

Synced: 10-09 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-09 15:00) Next (10-09 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2628

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 15:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000201%

Annualized-1.76%

Premium-0.00051608

Settled at: 2026-10-09 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,118,679.60

OI (USD)$31,585,987

Mark price$10.1280

Funding next-0.000169%

Day vol (USD)$4,646,359

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.394%

Change 4h -0.839%

Change 24h -2.146%

Z-score 7d -0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000086%

Avg 24h -0.000032%

Percentile 7d 18.5%

Percentile 30d 18.5%

Δ 4h -0.001336%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.677%

Divergence -0.15

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.262

OI / Vol z-7d

1.33

OI momentum 4h

-0.351%

Funding +ratio 24h

48.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-09 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262923	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.536	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 33%	early 9b -0.5ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	0.83	95%	↓ -0.42	below_value	-5.78	—	#134013	0.71	bull_high	+7.83%	+0.96	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:16	↗
4h #271462	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.477	volatile_reversal	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 43%	late 6b -1.6ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.16	23%	↓ -0.76	below_value	-7.47	—	#137736	0.57	bear_high	-1.54%	-0.64	09/10 12:00 upd 09/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #271461	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.526	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 8b -1.2ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.31	1%	↓ -0.19	below_value	-7.47	—	#137736	0.66	bear_medium	-1.31%	-0.01	09/10 15:00 upd 09/10 16:12	↗
15m #271394	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.642	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 2b -1.6ATR	—	—	1.21	40%	↓ -0.53	below_value	-7.04	—	#137584	0.75	range_low	-0.28%	+0.01	09/10 15:45 upd 09/10 16:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #189028	fresh	2026-10-09 15:00	0s	0.428	0.376	53/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:35
4h #189103	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	0s	0.430	0.298	41/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:37
1d #187056	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	20h	0.455	0.545	39/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #137660	fresh	2026-10-09 15:45	0s	$10.2168	$10.3293	$10.1084	value	-1.95	4.65
7d #137736	fresh	2026-10-09 15:00	0s	$11.0732	$11.4931	$10.7851	between	-7.47	5.57
30d #137812	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	0s	$11.0289	$11.5341	$10.3622	between	-2.89	4.03

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.0020 → $10.0552	0.53%	1.12	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.068808	+1.45
below	$10.4234 → $10.4930	0.67%	1.46	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.299442	-6.30

Prix observé : $10.1240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.7644 → $9.9784	2.17%	1.68	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.145577	+1.15
below	$10.3077 → $10.4888	1.74%	1.43	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.183690	-1.45
below	$11.6741 → $11.7400	0.56%	0.52	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.5501	-12.20

Prix observé : $10.1240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$8.0991 → $9.3519	14.36%	4.31	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.772115	+2.65

Prix observé : $10.1240. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}