Observation #25982

← Research Observations / #25982

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.802600

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,187,721

Synced: 10-09 19:02 +1h

← Prev (10-09 17:00) Next (10-09 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3595

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 17:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000299

Settled at: 2026-10-09 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,729,750.00

OI (USD)$31,044,218

Mark price$0.801560

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,264,873

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.284%

Change 4h -1.093%

Change 24h +4.246%

Z-score 7d -0.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 92.9%

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.668%

Divergence 0.35

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.763

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.61

OI momentum 4h

-1.943%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+592 crowded

Time: 2026-10-09 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #263192	fresh	22h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.725	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 40%	early 12b 0.9ATR	—	—	1.64	98%	↓ -0.26	value	+2.35	—	#134088	0.65	bull_high	+7.83%	+0.99	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:28	↗
4h #271625	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.620	expansion	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.6ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.76	55%	↑ +0.51	above_value	+0.09	—	#137804	0.51	bear_high	-1.54%	-0.10	09/10 12:00 upd 09/10 16:18	↗
1h anchor #272317	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.433	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 48%	early 5b -0.7ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.42	36%	↓ -0.49	above_value	+0.53	—	#138182	0.63	bear_medium	-1.01%	-0.43	09/10 17:00 upd 09/10 18:12	↗
15m #272242	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.368	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.2ATR	near -2.3ATR	—	0.07	2%	↓ -0.59	above_value	+0.39	—	#138032	0.65	range_low	-0.01%	-0.10	09/10 17:45 upd 09/10 18:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #189317	fresh	2026-10-09 17:00	0s	0.440	0.422	53/73	2026-10-09 18:00	2026-10-09 18:37
4h #189170	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	2h	0.454	0.394	29/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:39
1d #187130	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	22h	0.682	0.843	7/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #138107	fresh	2026-10-09 17:45	0s	$0.815754	$0.847988	$0.809868	between	-3.39	9.81
7d #138182	fresh	2026-10-09 17:00	0s	$0.795132	$0.847311	$0.778105	hvn	0.53	5.57
30d #137880	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	2h	$0.802398	$0.932660	$0.689503	hvn	-0.08	8.72

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.792490 → $0.795293	0.35%	0.72	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007307	+1.88
below	$0.804823 → $0.807626	0.35%	0.72	0.27	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.002223	-0.57
below	$0.848548 → $0.859760	1.31%	2.89	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.045948	-11.82

Prix observé : $0.802600. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.767120 → $0.774810	1.00%	0.62	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027790	+2.24
below	$0.873674 → $0.898940	2.85%	2.03	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.071074	-5.72

Prix observé : $0.802600. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.599188 → $0.633925	5.63%	1.25	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.168675	+6.05
above	$0.734661 → $0.765924	4.17%	1.12	0.84	reversion	✓	↑ $0.036676	+1.32
below	$0.904871 → $0.932660	3.02%	1.00	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.102271	-3.67

Prix observé : $0.802600. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T21:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}