Observation #25986

← Research Observations / #25986

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,591.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,845,030,271

Synced: 10-09 20:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6289

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 18:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000141%

Annualized1.24%

Premium-0.00048871

Settled at: 2026-10-09 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,284.49

OI (USD)$3,161,953,949

Mark price$82,591.00

Funding next0.000123%

Day vol (USD)$1,885,040,580

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.347%

Change 4h -0.400%

Change 24h -3.797%

Z-score 7d -0.51

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000914%

Avg 24h 0.000569%

Percentile 7d 20.2%

Percentile 30d 22.5%

Δ 4h +0.000924%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.212%

Divergence 0.79

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.656

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.30

OI momentum 4h

+0.868%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-09 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #271453	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.347	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 47%	early 6b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.50	32%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-7.16	—	#137580	—	—	—	—	09/10 12:00 upd 09/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #272597	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.655	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 11b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	0.38	19%	↓ -0.20	above_value	+0.05	—	#138111	—	—	—	—	09/10 18:00 upd 09/10 19:05	↗
15m #272538	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.579	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 12b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.15	1%	↓ -0.50	above_value	+0.05	—	#138111	—	—	—	—	09/10 18:45 upd 09/10 19:00	↗
5m #272537	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.530	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 43%	late 10b 1.6ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.11	1%	↓ -0.39	above_value	+0.05	—	#138111	—	—	—	—	09/10 18:55 upd 09/10 19:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #189321	fresh	2026-10-09 18:00	0s	0.472	0.487	27/73	2026-10-09 19:00	2026-10-09 19:35
4h #189099	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	3h	0.507	0.411	15/75	2026-10-09 16:00	2026-10-09 16:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	23h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #138186	fresh	2026-10-09 18:45	0s	$82,502.16	$83,094.38	$82,283.13	hvn	0.73	6.67
7d #138260	fresh	2026-10-09 18:00	0s	$82,481.01	$85,551.55	$80,738.28	hvn	0.29	12.47
30d #137808	fresh	2026-10-09 12:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$79,197.07	value	-1.86	9.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,553.00 → $81,715.25	0.20%	1.33	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $875.75	+7.20
above	$82,120.88 → $82,218.23	0.12%	0.80	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $372.77	+3.07
below	$83,321.53 → $83,500.00	0.21%	1.47	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $730.52	-6.01

Prix observé : $82,591.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	1.15	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,797.40	+4.66
above	$81,070.23 → $81,346.85	0.34%	0.72	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,244.15	+3.22
below	$84,223.75 → $84,555.70	0.39%	0.86	0.53	reversion	✓	↓ $1,632.75	-4.23
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	0.72	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,122.38	-10.68

Prix observé : $82,591.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.61	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,164.33	+8.29
above	$78,673.40 → $80,453.87	2.24%	2.06	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,137.13	+2.47
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.61	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,356.33	-5.04

Prix observé : $82,591.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	19:05	19:20	+0.08%	+0.18×	+0.20×	0.00×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.08%	17.20%	0.09%	$3.80M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	19:05	20:05	-0.02%	-0.04×	+0.20×	-0.11×	15m	35m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-0.02%	13.36%	0.14%	$18.52M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	19:05	23:05	+0.01%	+0.02×	+0.45×	-0.21×	2h25m	1h45m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.01%	11.32%	0.29%	$94.21M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	19:05	07:05	+0.28%	+0.64×	+0.94×	-0.21×	10h30m	1h45m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.28%	10.77%	0.51%	$253.30M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	19:05	19:05	+0.58%	+1.30×	+1.59×	-0.21×	18h35m	1h45m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.58%	11.15%	0.80%	$795.92M	10:30 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T22:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}