Observation #26208

← Research Observations / #26208

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,656.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,686,410,262

Synced: 10-09 23:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7839

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 21:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000008%

Annualized0.07%

Premium-0.00049939

Settled at: 2026-10-09 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,296.83

OI (USD)$3,165,501,251

Mark price$82,657.00

Funding next0.000012%

Day vol (USD)$1,821,375,677

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.443%

Change 4h -0.067%

Change 24h -4.017%

Z-score 7d 0.59

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000502%

Avg 24h 0.000456%

Percentile 7d 0.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 2.9%

Δ 4h -0.000476%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.187%

Divergence 0.51

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.726

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.27

OI momentum 4h

+0.011%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-09 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273041	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.625	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 18b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.74	38%	↓ -0.21	above_value	+0.27	—	#138408	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:15	↗
4h #272944	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.354	normal	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early 7b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.25	9%	↔ -0.12	above_value	+0.28	—	#138260	—	—	—	—	09/10 16:00 upd 09/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #273784	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.537	compression	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 14b 0.1ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	0.31	17%	↓ -0.44	above_value	+0.12	—	#138630	—	—	—	—	09/10 21:00 upd 09/10 22:05	↗
15m #273724	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.687	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 2b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.25	1%	↓ -0.37	above_value	+0.12	—	#138630	—	—	—	—	09/10 21:45 upd 09/10 22:00	↗
5m #273723	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.847	expansion_after_compression	range_low	46%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 5b 1.2ATR	—	near -2.2ATR	0.05	2%	↓ -0.15	above_value	+0.12	—	#138630	—	—	—	—	09/10 21:55 upd 09/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #189686	fresh	2026-10-09 21:00	0s	0.473	0.507	60/73	2026-10-09 22:00	2026-10-09 22:35
4h #189467	fresh	2026-10-09 16:00	2h	0.500	0.444	21/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:37
1d #189540	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	2h	0.554	0.595	20/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #138704	fresh	2026-10-09 21:45	0s	$82,522.46	$82,960.67	$82,273.02	value	1.34	6.91
7d #138779	fresh	2026-10-09 21:00	0s	$82,481.01	$85,551.55	$80,461.65	hvn	0.52	15.01
30d #138482	fresh	2026-10-09 16:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$79,406.53	value	-1.80	9.61

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,882.00 → $81,976.38	0.12%	0.95	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $679.62	+6.83
above	$82,030.32 → $82,151.67	0.15%	1.22	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $504.33	+5.07
below	$83,324.72 → $83,500.00	0.21%	1.76	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $668.72	-6.72

Prix observé : $82,656.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	1.31	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,862.40	+5.49
above	$81,070.23 → $81,346.85	0.34%	0.82	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,309.15	+3.86
below	$84,279.08 → $84,721.68	0.52%	1.31	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $1,623.08	-4.79
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	0.82	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,057.38	-11.96

Prix observé : $82,656.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.63	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,229.33	+8.73
above	$78,673.40 → $80,453.87	2.24%	2.15	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,202.13	+2.66
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.63	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,291.33	-5.18

Prix observé : $82,656.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.03%	-0.07×	+0.15×	-0.08×	10m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.03%	1.39%	0.09%	$3.98M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	-0.09%	-0.23×	+0.15×	-0.25×	10m	1h	High first	0.37	0.00%	-0.09%	9.80%	0.16%	$19.93M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+0.12%	+0.30×	+0.54×	-0.38×	3h55m	1h40m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.12%	10.68%	0.36%	$77.86M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	+0.11%	+0.27×	+0.82×	-0.38×	7h30m	1h40m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.11%	9.94%	0.47%	$230.97M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	+0.39%	+1.00×	+1.56×	-0.38×	15h35m	1h40m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.39%	10.80%	0.76%	$824.86M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T01:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}