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← Research Observations / #26345
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-09 23:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
22:00–23:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
23:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
00:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.086845
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $8,265,742
Synced: 10-10 00:02 +1h
← Prev (10-09 22:00) Next (10-10 00:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.821
evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 22:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.000843%
Annualized7.38%
Premium-0.00043258
Settled at: 2026-10-09 23:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)677,936,270.00
OI (USD)$58,849,614
Mark price$0.086807
Funding next0.000855%
Day vol (USD)$8,447,324
Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 22:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.022%
Change 4h -0.137%
Change 24h -4.806%
Z-score 7d 0.24
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001064%
Avg 24h 0.000609%
Percentile 7d 17.9%
Percentile 30d 6.4%
Δ 4h -0.000186%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +3.204%
Divergence 1.96
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
7.909
OI / Vol z-7d
0.59
OI momentum 4h
+0.930%
Funding +ratio 24h
80.0%
Sign streak
+6
Time: 2026-10-09 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#273220
 fresh 3h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.515 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 35% mid 14b -1.0ATR — — 0.20 38% ↓ -0.62 below_value -10.18 — #138470 0.54 bull_high +8.79% -0.77
08/10 20:00
upd 09/10 20:24
 ↗
4h
#273100
 fresh 3h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.524 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b -0.8ATR — — 0.30 12% ↓ -0.42 below_value -10.18 — #138470 0.52 bear_high -1.16% -0.35
09/10 16:00
upd 09/10 20:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#274200
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.475 normal range_high
41%
noisy_chop 41% late 7b 1.9ATR — near 0.3ATR 3.44 86% ↔ -0.14 above_value -7.99 — #138991 0.63 bear_medium -0.83% +0.19
09/10 22:00
upd 09/10 23:11
 ↗
15m
#274128
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.513 expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
63%
choppy 52% late 28b 2.9ATR — near -0.4ATR 2.28 88% ↑ +0.71 above_value -8.81 — #138842 0.77 range_low +0.06% +0.35
09/10 22:45
upd 09/10 23:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#189821
 fresh 2026-10-09 22:00 0s 0.672 0.591 9/73 2026-10-09 23:00 2026-10-09 23:36
4h
#189528
 fresh 2026-10-09 16:00 3h 0.458 0.338 47/73 2026-10-09 20:00 2026-10-09 20:38
1d
#189601
 fresh 2026-10-08 20:00 3h 0.330 0.375 69/73 2026-10-09 20:00 2026-10-09 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#138917
 fresh 2026-10-09 22:45 0s $0.084867 $0.085345 $0.083226 between 3.82 4.10
7d
#138991
 fresh 2026-10-09 22:00 0s $0.095687 $0.097545 $0.086101 hvn -7.99 10.34
30d
#138544
 fresh 2026-10-09 16:00 3h $0.096419 $0.106884 $0.079390 value -4.94 11.24

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.082353 → $0.082769 0.50% 0.80 0.65 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004076 +7.87
above $0.085428 → $0.086259 0.97% 1.61 0.77 continuation_up ✓ ↑ $0.000586 +1.13

Prix observé : $0.086845. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.079710 → $0.081939 2.76% 2.01 0.42 continuation_down — ↑ $0.004906 +4.43
below $0.089965 → $0.091154 1.31% 1.07 0.64 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.003120 -2.82
below $0.096802 → $0.097545 0.76% 0.67 0.64 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.009957 -9.00

Prix observé : $0.086845. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080210 4.71% 1.51 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006635 +2.71
below $0.117142 → $0.125760 7.10% 3.52 0.70 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.030297 -12.38

Prix observé : $0.086845. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T02:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T02:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}