Observation #27374

← Research Observations / #27374

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.087154

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,709,933

Synced: 10-10 14:02 +1h

← Prev (10-10 12:00) Next (10-10 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8105

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 12:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00028659

Settled at: 2026-10-10 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)676,260,944.00

OI (USD)$59,007,825

Mark price$0.087256

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,832,578

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.132%

Change 4h -0.134%

Change 24h -0.914%

Z-score 7d 0.51

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000919%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.163%

Divergence -0.19

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

9.587

OI / Vol z-7d

0.98

OI momentum 4h

-0.178%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+20 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273220	fresh	17h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.515	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 14b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.20	38%	↓ -0.62	below_value	-10.18	—	#138470	0.54	bull_high	+8.79%	-0.77	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:24	↗
4h #279074	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.390	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 11b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.23	5%	↓ -0.60	above_value	-10.42	—	#141137	0.52	range_high	-0.58%	-0.08	10/10 08:00 upd 10/10 12:16	↗
1h anchor #279421	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	compression	range_high	44%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 6b 1.1ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.32	4%	↓ -0.56	above_value	-10.15	—	#141353	0.64	range_low	-0.22%	+0.34	10/10 12:00 upd 10/10 13:10	↗
15m #279350	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.417	normal	bull_low	46%	noisy_chop 40%	early 6b 0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.71	19%	↔ +0.06	above_value	-10.42	—	#141137	0.62	range_low	+0.34%	+0.01	10/10 12:45 upd 10/10 13:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191133	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	0s	0.507	0.564	40/71	2026-10-10 13:00	2026-10-10 13:36
4h #191062	fresh	2026-10-10 08:00	1h	0.466	0.366	54/71	2026-10-10 12:00	2026-10-10 12:38
1d #189601	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	17h	0.330	0.375	69/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #141281	fresh	2026-10-10 12:45	0s	$0.086771	$0.088023	$0.084290	hvn	1.16	11.28
7d #141353	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	0s	$0.095687	$0.097545	$0.085804	hvn	-10.15	13.97
30d #141209	fresh	2026-10-10 08:00	1h	$0.096419	$0.106884	$0.079390	value	-4.36	12.22

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.084337 → $0.084999	0.78%	2.00	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002155	+6.51
above	$0.085377 → $0.086133	0.88%	2.28	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001021	+3.09

Prix observé : $0.087154. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.079710 → $0.081791	2.58%	2.48	0.39	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.005363	+6.38
below	$0.089965 → $0.091154	1.31%	1.41	0.62	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002811	-3.35
below	$0.093086 → $0.093532	0.48%	0.53	0.37	reversion	—	↓ $0.005932	-7.06
below	$0.096802 → $0.097545	0.76%	0.88	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009648	-11.48

Prix observé : $0.087154. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	1.64	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006944	+3.09
below	$0.117142 → $0.125760	7.10%	3.83	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029988	-13.33

Prix observé : $0.087154. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T16:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}