Observation #27514

← Research Observations / #27514

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.901850

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,232,217

Synced: 10-10 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-10 14:00) Next (10-10 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5095

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 14:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004108

Settled at: 2026-10-10 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,504,930.00

OI (USD)$35,594,021

Mark price$0.901002

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,116,379

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.530%

Change 4h +0.240%

Change 24h +1.364%

Z-score 7d -0.79

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 92.9%

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.552%

Divergence -0.53

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.038

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.72

OI momentum 4h

-0.962%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+613 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273237	fresh	19h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.724	expansion	bull_high	70%	noisy_chop 38%	early 13b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.65	86%	↓ -0.26	above_value	+0.42	—	#138478	0.64	bull_high	+8.79%	+0.94	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:25	↗
4h #279098	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.543	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 48%	late 4b 2.7ATR	—	near -1.5ATR	3.07	97%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+7.83	inside	#141145	0.51	range_high	-0.58%	+0.92	10/10 08:00 upd 10/10 12:17	↗
1h anchor #280098	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.386	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	61%	choppy 55%	late 2b 2.2ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.70	74%	↑ +0.87	above_value	+6.01	—	#141633	0.62	range_low	-0.19%	+0.80	10/10 14:00 upd 10/10 15:10	↗
15m #280030	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.470	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b 0.2ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	0.19	39%	↓ -0.66	above_value	+7.18	—	#141501	0.38	range_low	+0.31%	-0.01	10/10 14:45 upd 10/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191279	fresh	2026-10-10 14:00	0s	0.733	0.839	7/69	2026-10-10 15:00	2026-10-10 15:37
4h #191070	fresh	2026-10-10 08:00	3h	0.889	0.862	1/71	2026-10-10 12:00	2026-10-10 12:39
1d #189609	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	19h	0.512	0.678	25/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #141567	fresh	2026-10-10 14:45	0s	$0.906305	$0.927050	$0.855285	hvn	-0.50	8.09
7d #141633	fresh	2026-10-10 14:00	0s	$0.797107	$0.859080	$0.777782	lvn LVN	6.02	5.19
30d #141217	fresh	2026-10-10 08:00	3h	$0.802398	$0.932660	$0.696451	value	3.98	8.13

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.826130 → $0.841829	1.88%	1.77	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.060021	+6.76
above	$0.857527 → $0.868741	1.30%	1.26	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.033109	+3.73
above	$0.870983 → $0.878833	0.90%	0.88	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023017	+2.59

Prix observé : $0.901850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.876406 → $0.895064	2.11%	1.19	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.006786	+0.43
below	$0.909724 → $0.927050	1.89%	1.11	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007874	-0.50

Prix observé : $0.901850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.592241 → $0.633925	6.80%	1.43	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.267925	+9.22
above	$0.731187 → $0.765924	4.64%	1.20	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.135926	+4.68

Prix observé : $0.901850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T18:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}