Observation #27635

← Research Observations / #27635

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.4534

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,270,385

Synced: 10-10 18:02 +1h

← Prev (10-10 16:00) Next (10-10 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6856

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 16:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00040363

Settled at: 2026-10-10 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,221,240.00

OI (USD)$7,911,365

Mark price$2.4560

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,271,030

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 16:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.251%

Change 4h -0.251%

Change 24h +0.051%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 74.4%

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.902%

Divergence 1.38

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.468

OI / Vol z-7d

0.82

OI momentum 4h

-4.571%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+779 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273208	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.690	normal	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	early 14b -0.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.40	38%	↓ -0.51	below_value	-5.16	—	#138464	0.50	bull_high	+8.79%	-0.75	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:24	↗
4h #280456	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.379	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 12b 0.1ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.53	35%	↓ -0.46	above_value	+2.27	—	#141754	0.45	range_high	-0.53%	-0.19	10/10 12:00 upd 10/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #280788	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.489	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 45%	late 9b 2.5ATR	—	—	1.58	81%	↑ +0.36	value	+2.82	—	#141952	0.66	range_low	-0.19%	+0.18	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 17:10	↗
15m #280661	fresh	15min	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.471	expansion_after_compression	bull_low_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 45%	late 11b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.88	68%	↑ +0.54	above_value	+2.27	—	#141754	0.53	range_low	+0.29%	+0.19	10/10 16:30 upd 10/10 16:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191466	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	0.604	0.561	18/66	2026-10-10 17:00	2026-10-10 17:36
4h #191400	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	1h	0.485	0.440	36/66	2026-10-10 16:00	2026-10-10 16:38
1d #189596	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	21h	0.352	0.464	66/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #141886	fresh	2026-10-10 16:45	0s	$2.4035	$2.4130	$2.3725	between	5.69	4.63
7d #141952	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	$2.3960	$2.6165	$2.2868	value	2.82	16.17
30d #141820	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	1h	$2.7114	$2.8340	$2.4622	between	-5.11	6.83

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4271 → $2.4486	0.88%	2.45	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.004812	+0.55

Prix observé : $2.4534. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4249 → $2.4428	0.73%	0.87	0.56	reversion	✓	↑ $0.010646	+0.52
below	$2.5898 → $2.6745	3.22%	4.15	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.136397	-6.69
below	$2.7992 → $2.8215	0.79%	1.09	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.345821	-16.96

Prix observé : $2.4534. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0351 → $2.0667	1.54%	0.58	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.386660	+7.10
above	$2.2408 → $2.2882	2.10%	0.87	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.165180	+3.03
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	2.03	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.420160	-7.71

Prix observé : $2.4534. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T20:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T20:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}