Observation #27733

← Research Observations / #27733

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$13.0170

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,607,193

Synced: 10-10 20:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5817

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 18:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034107

Settled at: 2026-10-10 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,633,088.40

OI (USD)$73,331,545

Mark price$13.0180

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,766,053

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.008%

Change 4h +0.039%

Change 24h +0.651%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000930%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 92.8%

Δ 4h +0.000102%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.413%

Divergence -0.47

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

19.549

OI / Vol z-7d

2.38 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.188%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273101	fresh	23h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.701	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 10b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.23	51%	↓ -0.51	below_value	-10.46	—	#138423	0.82	bull_high	+8.79%	+0.14	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:18	↗
4h #280384	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.475	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 12b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.14	1%	↓ -0.70	value	-12.66	—	#141718	0.71	range_high	-0.53%	-0.15	10/10 12:00 upd 10/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #281393	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.799	compression	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 44%	early 8b 0.1ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.42	7%	↓ -0.24	below_value	-13.79	—	#142183	0.69	range_low	-0.12%	+0.08	10/10 18:00 upd 10/10 19:08	↗
15m #281333	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.655	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 46%	late 8b -1.8ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	1.25	36%	↑ +0.41	value	-13.16	—	#142049	0.64	range_low	+0.27%	-0.05	10/10 18:45 upd 10/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191563	fresh	2026-10-10 18:00	0s	0.486	0.492	40/69	2026-10-10 19:00	2026-10-10 19:35
4h #191364	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	3h	0.484	0.407	37/66	2026-10-10 16:00	2026-10-10 16:37
1d #189555	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	23h	0.408	0.530	49/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142116	fresh	2026-10-10 18:45	0s	$12.8897	$13.0857	$12.7730	lvn LVN	4.31	10.58
7d #142183	fresh	2026-10-10 18:00	0s	$14.1639	$14.3220	$13.0200	between	-13.79	15.65
30d #141784	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	3h	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.7222	value	-5.03	11.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.7690 → $12.7848	0.12%	0.54	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.232167	+7.86
inside	$12.9511 → $13.0382	0.67%	2.95	0.59	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $13.0170. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.0900 → $12.3132	1.83%	2.68	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.703800	+8.46
above	$12.4248 → $12.6852	2.07%	3.13	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.331800	+3.99
below	$13.1874 → $13.2618	0.56%	0.89	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.170400	-2.05

Prix observé : $13.0170. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.1733	5.13%	2.45	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.8437	+8.09
above	$11.7757 → $12.1199	2.88%	1.51	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.897125	+3.94
below	$15.3898 → $15.7770	2.48%	1.70	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2.3728	-10.41

Prix observé : $13.0170. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}