Observation #27794

← Research Observations / #27794

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.189390

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,409,326

Synced: 10-10 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-10 19:00) Next (10-10 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4314

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 19:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039230

Settled at: 2026-10-10 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)100,967,415.80

OI (USD)$19,119,190

Mark price$0.189360

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,755,079

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.027%

Change 4h -0.569%

Change 24h +0.021%

Z-score 7d 0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000150%

Avg 24h -0.000310%

Percentile 7d 38.7%

Percentile 30d 10.4%

Δ 4h -0.000360%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.186%

Divergence 0.68

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.262

OI / Vol z-7d

1.12

OI momentum 4h

-1.132%

Funding +ratio 24h

40.0%

Sign streak

+9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281855	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.463	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	early 17b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.29	74%	↓ -0.74	value	+1.69	—	#142311	0.58	bull_high	+9.07%	-0.92	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:17	↗
4h #281724	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.412	compression	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 14b 1.0ATR	—	—	1.03	27%	↓ -0.36	value	+1.69	—	#142311	0.38	range_high	-0.64%	+0.31	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 20:11	↗
1h anchor #281723	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.468	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	late 13b 2.0ATR	—	—	0.83	25%	↑ +0.50	value	+1.69	—	#142311	0.72	range_low	-0.23%	+0.27	10/10 19:00 upd 10/10 20:11	↗
15m #281653	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.807	volatile_reversal	bull_medium	55%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b 0.8ATR	near 0.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	0.62	63%	↔ -0.14	value	+1.38	—	#142176	0.51	range_low	+0.13%	+0.16	10/10 19:45 upd 10/10 20:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191625	fresh	2026-10-10 19:00	0s	0.593	0.620	15/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:35
4h #191693	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	0.538	0.465	19/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:37
1d #191761	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	0s	0.472	0.601	38/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142243	fresh	2026-10-10 19:45	0s	$0.184569	$0.186978	$0.183546	lvn LVN	5.07	3.61
7d #142311	fresh	2026-10-10 19:00	0s	$0.186039	$0.201511	$0.161490	value	1.69	20.14
30d #142379	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	$0.218049	$0.254960	$0.185297	lvn LVN	-5.62	13.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.182820 → $0.183414	0.32%	0.62	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005976	+6.28
inside	$0.188694 → $0.189420	0.38%	0.76	0.65	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.190080 → $0.190740	0.35%	0.69	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000690	-0.73

Prix observé : $0.189390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.163140	1.02%	0.83	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026250	+13.21
above	$0.174280 → $0.176756	1.41%	1.25	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012634	+6.36
below	$0.191609 → $0.198210	3.39%	3.32	0.84	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002219	-1.12

Prix observé : $0.189390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.131230 → $0.134349	2.35%	0.61	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.055041	+10.73
above	$0.172820 → $0.176979	2.38%	0.81	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012411	+2.42
inside	$0.186337 → $0.196734	5.43%	2.03	0.69	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.242483 → $0.256000	5.42%	2.64	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.053093	-10.35

Prix observé : $0.189390. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}