Observation #27868

← Research Observations / #27868

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$12.9790

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,357,498

Synced: 10-10 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-10 20:00) Next (10-10 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3007

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 20:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00019876

Settled at: 2026-10-10 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,637,753.60

OI (USD)$73,198,338

Mark price$12.9836

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,608,029

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 20:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.025%

Change 4h +0.075%

Change 24h +0.699%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000930%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 92.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.007%

Divergence -0.98

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

19.455

OI / Vol z-7d

2.27 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.000%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+11 crowded

Time: 2026-10-10 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281874	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.705	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 11b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.16	32%	↓ -0.71	below_value	-14.52	—	#142318	0.82	bull_high	+9.07%	+0.16	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:18	↗
4h #281738	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.491	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 13b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.18	2%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-14.52	—	#142318	0.71	range_high	-0.64%	-0.25	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 20:12	↗
1h anchor #282191	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.785	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 10b -0.3ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.71	17%	↓ -0.63	below_value	-15.16	—	#142521	0.69	range_low	-0.26%	+0.10	10/10 20:00 upd 10/10 21:08	↗
15m #282130	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.771	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 44%	late 16b -2.3ATR	—	—	0.69	24%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-14.52	—	#142318	0.64	range_low	+0.08%	-0.05	10/10 20:45 upd 10/10 21:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191838	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	0s	0.496	0.487	35/67	2026-10-10 21:00	2026-10-10 21:35
4h #191700	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	1h	0.473	0.386	37/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:37
1d #191768	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	1h	0.428	0.552	48/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142454	fresh	2026-10-10 20:45	0s	$12.8897	$13.0936	$12.7888	value	3.42	11.69
7d #142521	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	0s	$14.1639	$14.3220	$13.0200	between	-15.16	16.65
30d #142386	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	1h	$14.2066	$15.3037	$12.7653	value	-5.37	11.52

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.7690 → $12.8086	0.31%	1.52	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.170417	+6.53
above	$12.9471 → $12.9630	0.12%	0.61	0.43	reversion	—	↑ $0.016042	+0.62
below	$13.1767 → $13.2440	0.51%	2.58	0.38	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.197708	-7.58

Prix observé : $12.9790. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.0900 → $12.3132	1.83%	2.85	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.665800	+8.52
above	$12.4248 → $12.6852	2.07%	3.33	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.293800	+3.76
below	$13.1874 → $13.2618	0.56%	0.95	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.208400	-2.67

Prix observé : $12.9790. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.1733	5.13%	2.54	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.8057	+8.20
above	$11.7757 → $12.1199	2.88%	1.56	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.859125	+3.90
below	$15.3898 → $15.7770	2.48%	1.76	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2.4108	-10.94

Prix observé : $12.9790. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}