Observation #27989

← Research Observations / #27989

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,051.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $842,400,653

Synced: 10-11 00:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7059

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 22:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000094%

Annualized-0.82%

Premium-0.00050753

Settled at: 2026-10-10 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,074.19

OI (USD)$3,162,366,433

Mark price$83,058.00

Funding next-0.000065%

Day vol (USD)$822,810,848

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.467%

Change 4h -0.985%

Change 24h -0.437%

Z-score 7d -0.67

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001057%

Avg 24h 0.000168%

Percentile 7d 0.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.0%

Δ 4h -0.000925%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.008%

Divergence 0.91

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.834

OI / Vol z-7d

0.96

OI momentum 4h

-2.307%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-5

Time: 2026-10-10 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #281707	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 38%	late 13b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.26	8%	↓ -0.65	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #282835	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.467	compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 39%	early 9b 1.0ATR	—	near -3.7ATR	0.36	10%	↑ +0.15	above_value	+0.09	—	#142641	—	—	—	—	10/10 22:00 upd 10/10 23:05	↗
15m #282776	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.534	normal	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 7b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.22	7%	↔ -0.12	above_value	+0.09	—	#142641	—	—	—	—	10/10 22:45 upd 10/10 23:00	↗
5m #282775	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.598	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b 1.6ATR	—	—	0.09	5%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+0.09	—	#142641	—	—	—	—	10/10 22:55 upd 10/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191958	fresh	2026-10-10 22:00	0s	0.432	0.507	62/68	2026-10-10 23:00	2026-10-10 23:35
4h #191685	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	3h	0.494	0.473	27/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	3h	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142709	fresh	2026-10-10 22:45	0s	$83,009.08	$83,132.07	$82,859.93	value	0.77	5.01
7d #142777	fresh	2026-10-10 22:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	hvn	0.45	31.93
30d #142371	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,453.87	hvn	-1.70	10.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,525.00 → $82,624.43	0.12%	1.83	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $426.57	+7.85
above	$82,671.53 → $82,723.87	0.06%	0.96	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $327.13	+6.02

Prix observé : $83,051.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	2.75	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,257.40	+14.01
above	$81,070.23 → $81,291.53	0.27%	1.37	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,759.48	+10.92
below	$84,279.08 → $84,998.30	0.85%	4.46	0.77	reversion	✓	↓ $1,228.08	-7.62
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.72	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,662.38	-22.73

Prix observé : $83,051.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.85	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,624.33	+12.30
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	3.04	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,597.13	+4.19
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.85	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,896.33	-6.29

Prix observé : $83,051.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	-0.13%	-0.65×	0.00×	-0.66×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.13%	5.24%	0.14%	$3.96M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	-0.23%	-1.13×	0.00×	-1.54×	5m	1h	Low first	0.40	0.00%	-0.23%	18.36%	0.32%	$46.17M	— / —	23:20 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	+0.16%	+0.77×	+1.02×	-1.54×	4h	1h	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+0.16%	11.86%	0.53%	$85.94M	03:00 / —	23:20 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	+0.09%	+0.44×	+1.14×	-1.54×	9h10m	1h	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.09%	10.34%	0.55%	$239.31M	03:00 / —	23:20 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	+0.86%	+4.15×	+6.84×	-1.54×	14h35m	1h	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.86%	20.93%	1.73%	$1.38B	03:00 / 11:40	23:20 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T02:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}