Observation #28178

← Research Observations / #28178

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8777

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,060,714

Synced: 10-11 02:02 +1h

← Prev (10-11 00:00) Next (10-11 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3522

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 00:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00012177

Settled at: 2026-10-11 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)6,106,012.60

OI (USD)$11,470,328

Mark price$1.8785

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,109,280

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 00:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h —

Change 4h —

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001178%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h +0.001369%

🔀 Price × OI

— undetermined

Price Δ 4h +0.005%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

—

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

—

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-11 00:00:00 Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273210	fresh	1.2d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.562	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 41b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.26	17%	↓ -0.56	value	-9.69	—	#138465	0.47	bull_high	+8.79%	-0.84	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:24	↗
4h #283433	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.623	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 14b -0.8ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.93	30%	↓ -0.49	value	+2.23	—	#142967	0.48	bear_high	-0.84%	+0.17	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 00:39	↗
1h anchor #283622	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.477	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 40%	early 2b -0.9ATR	—	—	1.69	59%	↑ +0.50	value	+2.39	—	#143174	0.55	range_low	-0.17%	-0.15	11/10 00:00 upd 11/10 01:10	↗
15m #283554	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.264	volatile_reversal	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 49%	early 6b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.10	24%	↔ +0.11	value	+2.23	—	#142967	0.55	range_low	+0.12%	-0.07	11/10 00:45 upd 11/10 01:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #192217	fresh	2026-10-11 00:00	0s	0.561	0.495	21/69	2026-10-11 01:00	2026-10-11 01:36
4h #192163	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	1h	0.445	0.355	33/69	2026-10-11 00:00	2026-10-11 00:38
1d	stale	2026-10-08 20:00	1.2d	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #143105	fresh	2026-10-11 00:45	0s	$1.8950	$1.9062	$1.8789	between	-3.37	5.32
7d #143174	fresh	2026-10-11 00:00	0s	$1.8484	$2.0132	$1.7000	value	2.39	25.55
30d #143036	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	1h	$2.0486	$2.1535	$1.9438	between	-4.57	5.66

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.8807 → $1.8838	0.16%	0.60	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002980	-0.58
below	$1.9027 → $1.9093	0.35%	1.29	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024980	-4.87
below	$1.9124 → $1.9150	0.14%	0.52	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.034660	-6.76

Prix observé : $1.8777. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.7294	1.71%	2.40	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.148338	+12.10
below	$1.9251 → $1.9447	1.01%	1.60	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $0.047413	-3.87
below	$1.9512 → $1.9936	2.15%	3.46	0.85	reversion	✓	↓ $0.073513	-6.00

Prix observé : $1.8777. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8170	6.65%	3.16	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.060680	+1.64
below	$2.2607 → $2.2851	1.07%	0.66	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.383021	-10.33

Prix observé : $1.8777. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T04:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T04:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}