Observation #28194

← Research Observations / #28194

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,993.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $823,354,076

Synced: 10-11 03:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2313

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 01:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001137%

Annualized-9.96%

Premium-0.00059096

Settled at: 2026-10-11 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,065.43

OI (USD)$3,159,620,981

Mark price$83,005.00

Funding next-0.001022%

Day vol (USD)$831,198,060

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.063%

Change 4h -0.463%

Change 24h -0.147%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000259%

Avg 24h 0.000106%

Percentile 7d 7.1%

Percentile 30d 5.3%

Δ 4h +0.000991%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.001%

Divergence 0.49

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.756

OI / Vol z-7d

1.04

OI momentum 4h

-0.979%

Funding +ratio 24h

52.0%

Sign streak

-8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #283166	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.370	compression	range_high	42%	noisy_chop 37%	late 14b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.29	9%	↓ -0.67	above_value	+0.45	—	#142777	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #283903	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.582	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 38%	early 1b 0.9ATR	—	near -3.4ATR	0.25	5%	↔ -0.11	above_value	-0.01	—	#143121	—	—	—	—	11/10 01:00 upd 11/10 02:05	↗
15m #283843	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.674	expansion	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 43%	early 9b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.35	18%	↓ -0.65	above_value	-0.01	—	#143121	—	—	—	—	11/10 01:45 upd 11/10 02:00	↗
5m #283842	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.822	compression	range_low	44%	ranging_calm 59%	early 8b 0.5ATR	—	—	1.89	55%	↔ -0.15	above_value	-0.01	—	#143121	—	—	—	—	11/10 01:55 upd 11/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #192233	fresh	2026-10-11 01:00	0s	0.430	0.502	58/67	2026-10-11 02:00	2026-10-11 02:35
4h #192094	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	2h	0.473	0.470	22/69	2026-10-11 00:00	2026-10-11 00:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	6h	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #143190	fresh	2026-10-11 01:45	0s	$83,011.94	$83,065.13	$82,833.88	hvn	-0.30	3.67
7d #143259	fresh	2026-10-11 01:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	hvn	0.08	30.49
30d #142983	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,558.60	hvn	-1.80	10.96

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,598.00 → $82,727.50	0.16%	2.06	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $265.50	+4.22

Prix observé : $82,993.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	2.62	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,199.40	+13.03
above	$81,070.23 → $81,291.53	0.27%	1.31	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,701.48	+10.08
below	$84,279.08 → $85,053.63	0.91%	4.59	0.77	reversion	✓	↓ $1,286.08	-7.62
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.64	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,720.38	-22.05

Prix observé : $82,993.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.88	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,566.33	+12.77
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	3.18	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,539.13	+4.29
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.88	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,954.33	-6.68

Prix observé : $82,993.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	-0.02%	-0.08×	0.00×	-0.08×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.02%	1.66%	0.02%	$874.89K	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	+0.16%	+0.80×	+1.06×	-0.08×	1h	15m	Low first	0.59	0.00%	+0.16%	9.77%	0.23%	$16.76M	03:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	-0.01%	-0.04×	+1.06×	-0.41×	1h	2h25m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.01%	9.09%	0.30%	$60.96M	03:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	+0.94%	+4.63×	+6.95×	-0.53×	11h35m	4h45m	Low first	0.18	0.00%	+0.94%	21.33%	1.52%	$748.99M	03:00 / 11:40	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	+1.04%	+5.13×	+7.38×	-0.53×	23h	4h45m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+1.04%	22.86%	1.61%	$1.50B	03:00 / 11:40	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T05:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}