Observation #28363

← Research Observations / #28363

🪙 TAO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TAO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$281.92

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,095,015

Synced: 10-11 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-11 03:00) Next (10-11 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TAO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 03:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000856

Settled at: 2026-10-11 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)222,348.91

OI (USD)$62,713,511

Mark price$282.05

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,430,269

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.080%

Change 4h -0.003%

Change 24h +0.861%

Z-score 7d -0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 94.0%

Percentile 30d 76.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.823%

Divergence 0.49

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

11.385

OI / Vol z-7d

2.49 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.006%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+63 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281928	fresh	8h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.703	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.16	23%	↓ -0.81	value	-7.46	—	#142344	0.64	bull_high	+9.07%	+0.56	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:21	↗
4h #284634	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.537	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 15b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.16	2%	↓ -0.70	value	-8.50	—	#143566	0.58	range_high	-0.58%	-0.28	11/10 00:00 upd 11/10 04:13	↗
1h anchor #284633	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.679	normal	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.41	4%	↓ -0.53	value	-8.50	—	#143566	0.69	range_low	-0.17%	-0.08	11/10 03:00 upd 11/10 04:13	↗
15m #284534	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.437	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b -1.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.34	17%	↓ -0.54	value	-7.59	—	#143433	0.61	range_low	+0.07%	-0.10	11/10 03:45 upd 11/10 04:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #192405	fresh	2026-10-11 03:00	0s	0.490	0.515	33/66	2026-10-11 04:00	2026-10-11 04:36
4h #192471	fresh	2026-10-11 00:00	0s	0.455	0.424	34/66	2026-10-11 04:00	2026-10-11 04:38
1d #191793	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	8h	0.439	0.608	45/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #143500	fresh	2026-10-11 03:45	0s	$283.56	$285.34	$281.99	between	-1.53	3.12
7d #143566	fresh	2026-10-11 03:00	0s	$304.20	$309.53	$281.72	value	-8.50	10.61
30d #143632	fresh	2026-10-11 00:00	0s	$306.78	$327.60	$280.61	value	-3.45	6.87

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$279.23 → $280.90	0.60%	1.56	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.0168	+0.95

Prix observé : $281.92. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$254.37 → $259.47	1.98%	1.95	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $22.4515	+8.57
above	$261.79 → $267.35	2.10%	2.12	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $14.5720	+5.56
above	$268.28 → $269.67	0.52%	0.53	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $12.2545	+4.68
above	$277.08 → $278.47	0.50%	0.53	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3.4480	+1.32

Prix observé : $281.92. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$213.34 → $229.36	7.24%	2.34	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $52.5625	+7.69
above	$238.97 → $247.51	3.51%	1.25	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $34.4093	+5.03
below	$334.01 → $341.48	2.21%	1.09	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $52.0852	-7.62

Prix observé : $281.92. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T07:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}