Observation #28848

← Research Observations / #28848

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.045456

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,245,046

Synced: 10-11 12:02 +1h

← Prev (10-11 10:00) Next (10-11 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.9259

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 10:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00034273

Settled at: 2026-10-11 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)174,814,704.00

OI (USD)$7,950,748

Mark price$0.045481

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,219,532

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 10:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.350%

Change 4h —

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001471%

Percentile 7d 91.1%

Percentile 30d 77.5%

Δ 4h -0.001584%

🔀 Price × OI

— undetermined

Price Δ 4h +5.115%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.597

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

—

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1145 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 37 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #286074	fresh	15h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.698	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 8b -0.2ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.35	38%	↔ +0.04	above_value	-0.30	—	#144177	0.38	bull_high	+9.07%	-0.20	09/10 20:00 upd 11/10 08:21	↗
4h #286000	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.654	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early 16b 0.3ATR	—	—	3.03	88%	↑ +0.16	above_value	-0.30	—	#144177	0.41	range_high	-0.39%	-0.09	11/10 04:00 upd 11/10 08:15	↗
1h anchor #286953	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.473	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late 3b 2.1ATR	—	—	0.89	80%	↑ +0.46	above_value	+2.37	—	#144642	0.34	range_low	-0.02%	+0.54	11/10 10:00 upd 11/10 11:10	↗
15m #286832	fresh	15min	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	0.369	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 49%	late 4b 2.8ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	0.17	46%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.30	—	#144509	0.37	range_low	+0.15%	+0.31	11/10 10:30 upd 11/10 10:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #193022	fresh	2026-10-11 10:00	0s	0.737	0.726	10/69	2026-10-11 11:00	2026-10-11 11:36
4h #192823	fresh	2026-10-11 04:00	3h	0.585	0.424	13/66	2026-10-11 08:00	2026-10-11 08:38
1d	stale	2026-10-04 20:00	5.6d	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #144575	fresh	2026-10-11 10:45	0s	$0.043459	$0.044422	$0.043260	lvn LVN	5.08	2.96
7d #144642	fresh	2026-10-11 10:00	0s	$0.043650	$0.049236	$0.039168	lvn LVN	2.37	14.00
30d #144243	fresh	2026-10-11 04:00	3h	$0.042090	$0.049796	$0.039711	value	0.94	7.76

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.042037 → $0.042251	0.51%	0.54	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003205	+8.15
above	$0.042373 → $0.042710	0.79%	0.86	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002746	+6.97
inside	$0.045187 → $0.045554	0.81%	0.93	0.83	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.045456. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.039168 → $0.040027	2.17%	1.20	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005429	+7.55
inside	$0.045184 → $0.046167	2.15%	1.37	0.79	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.046535 → $0.046903	0.79%	0.51	0.53	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001079	-1.50
below	$0.048008 → $0.048500	1.02%	0.68	0.59	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002552	-3.54
below	$0.052920 → $0.053902	1.84%	1.37	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007464	-10.38

Prix observé : $0.045456. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.037428	11.28%	3.07	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008028	+6.18
above	$0.037999 → $0.038760	1.98%	0.59	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006696	+5.15

Prix observé : $0.045456. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T14:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T14:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}