Observation #28856

← Research Observations / #28856

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,869.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $991,334,423

Synced: 10-11 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-11 11:00) Next (10-11 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.9167

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 11:45:57 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000849%

Annualized7.44%

Premium-0.00043205

Settled at: 2026-10-11 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,975.32

OI (USD)$3,168,330,142

Mark price$83,431.30

Funding next0.000782%

Day vol (USD)$815,004,303

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 11:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.242%

Change 4h +0.232%

Change 24h +0.751%

Z-score 7d -0.35

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000687%

Avg 24h -0.000398%

Percentile 7d 4.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 2.9%

Δ 4h +0.000711%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.901%

Divergence 1.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.305

OI / Vol z-7d

1.95

OI momentum 4h

-0.080%

Funding +ratio 24h

24.0%

Sign streak

-18 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	16h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #287212	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.651	compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 40%	late 17b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.19	3%	↓ -0.84	above_value	+0.68	—	#144583	—	—	—	—	11/10 08:00 upd 11/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #287211	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.589	normal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 5b 1.4ATR	—	—	1.02	24%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+0.68	—	#144583	—	—	—	—	11/10 11:00 upd 11/10 12:05	↗
15m #287156	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.551	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	34%	choppy 55%	late 6b 6.9ATR	—	—	6.37	100%	↑ +0.56	above_value	+0.68	—	#144583	—	—	—	—	11/10 11:45 upd 11/10 12:00	↗
5m #287155	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.344	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	31%	ranging_calm 66%	late 18b 7.2ATR	—	—	7.02	100%	↑ +0.97	above_value	+0.68	—	#144583	—	—	—	—	11/10 11:55 upd 11/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #193031	fresh	2026-10-11 11:00	0s	0.671	0.579	47/69	2026-10-11 12:00	2026-10-11 12:35
4h #193097	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	0s	0.504	0.532	53/69	2026-10-11 12:00	2026-10-11 12:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	16h	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #144650	fresh	2026-10-11 11:45	0s	$83,011.88	$83,147.33	$82,916.57	lvn LVN	7.89	2.13
7d #144719	fresh	2026-10-11 11:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	value	4.27	24.68
30d #144788	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,977.53	hvn	-1.82	11.25

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$83,428.27 → $83,950.00	0.62%	4.81	0.79	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $83,869.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,738.28	0.48%	1.86	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,130.73	+15.02
below	$84,279.08 → $85,164.28	1.04%	4.25	0.78	reversion	✓	↓ $410.07	-1.97
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.33	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,844.38	-13.64

Prix observé : $83,869.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.78	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,547.07	+15.83
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.88	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,415.13	+6.32
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.97	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,078.33	-5.70

Prix observé : $83,869.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	0.00%	0.00×	+0.47×	-0.10×	10m	15m	High first	0.01	0.00%	0.00%	46.49%	0.15%	$37.37M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	+0.02%	+0.08×	+1.24×	-0.10×	40m	15m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.02%	32.25%	0.34%	$142.07M	12:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	-0.08%	-0.32×	+2.08×	-0.93×	1h35m	2h45m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.08%	26.22%	0.77%	$480.13M	12:30 / 13:35	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	-0.23%	-0.89×	+2.08×	-2.33×	1h35m	5h15m	High first	0.03	0.00%	-0.23%	23.26%	1.13%	$933.71M	12:30 / 13:35	17:05 / 17:15	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	-1.07%	-4.15×	+2.70×	-6.34×	15h10m	22h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.07%	28.78%	2.33%	$2.20B	12:30 / 13:35	17:05 / 17:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T15:45:57+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 843,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T15:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}