Observation #28980

← Research Observations / #28980

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.089162

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,345,423

Synced: 10-11 14:02 +1h

← Prev (10-11 12:00) Next (10-11 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.9333

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 12:45:54 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003282

Settled at: 2026-10-11 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)676,092,716.00

OI (USD)$60,400,095

Mark price$0.089337

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,184,426

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 12:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.080%

Change 4h -0.119%

Change 24h +0.077%

Z-score 7d 0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001189%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.052%

Divergence 1.02

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

21.224

OI / Vol z-7d

2.77 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.163%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-11 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281960	fresh	17h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.634	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 15b -0.7ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.14	23%	↓ -0.80	above_value	+0.92	—	#142360	0.54	bull_high	+9.07%	-0.41	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:23	↗
4h #287319	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.507	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 17b 1.3ATR	—	—	0.38	10%	↓ -0.81	value	+1.97	—	#144774	0.52	range_high	+0.50%	+0.17	11/10 08:00 upd 11/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #287662	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.511	volatile_reversal	bull_high	47%	noisy_chop 38%	late 12b 1.7ATR	—	—	2.34	58%	↔ +0.13	value	+2.43	—	#144981	0.62	bull_low_confirmed	+0.89%	+0.02	11/10 12:00 upd 11/10 13:10	↗
15m #287596	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.487	volatile_reversal	bull_medium_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 3b 1.8ATR	—	—	1.48	81%	↑ +0.75	value	+1.97	—	#144774	0.48	bull_low_confirmed	+0.97%	+0.17	11/10 12:45 upd 11/10 13:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #193224	fresh	2026-10-11 12:00	0s	0.644	0.623	57/69	2026-10-11 13:00	2026-10-11 13:36
4h #193149	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	1h	0.520	0.544	47/69	2026-10-11 12:00	2026-10-11 12:38
1d #191809	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	17h	0.352	0.431	67/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #144912	fresh	2026-10-11 12:45	0s	$0.087020	$0.088217	$0.086676	between	4.46	3.21
7d #144981	fresh	2026-10-11 12:00	0s	$0.086918	$0.091600	$0.079710	value	2.43	12.89
30d #144843	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	1h	$0.096419	$0.107294	$0.079390	value	-4.13	13.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.085824 → $0.086512	0.80%	1.43	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002650	+5.52

Prix observé : $0.089162. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.079710 → $0.081791	2.58%	2.26	0.37	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.007371	+7.99
below	$0.089965 → $0.091154	1.31%	1.29	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000803	-0.87
below	$0.096653 → $0.097545	0.92%	0.97	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007491	-8.12

Prix observé : $0.089162. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.079800	4.20%	1.64	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009362	+4.67
below	$0.117142 → $0.125760	7.10%	4.30	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027980	-13.96

Prix observé : $0.089162. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T16:45:54+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 846,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T16:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}