Observation #29131

← Research Observations / #29131

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.947350

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,946,853

Synced: 10-11 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-11 14:00) Next (10-11 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8366

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 14:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00002137

Settled at: 2026-10-11 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)42,737,852.00

OI (USD)$40,461,848

Mark price$0.946745

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,143,649

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 14:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.232%

Change 4h -1.579%

Change 24h +9.203%

Z-score 7d -1.74

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 97.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.837%

Divergence 0.04

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.874

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.85

OI momentum 4h

-2.822%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+637 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281974	fresh	19h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.614	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 41%	late 8b 2.3ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	1.39	97%	↓ -0.26	above_value	+8.36	inside	#142367	0.64	bull_high	+9.07%	+1.00	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:23	↗
4h #287347	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.620	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 51%	late 10b 2.7ATR	—	—	1.22	87%	↑ +0.24	above_value	+8.38	inside	#144783	0.50	range_high	+0.50%	+0.97	11/10 08:00 upd 11/10 12:16	↗
1h anchor #288319	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.601	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 33%	early 9b -0.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.46	90%	↑ +0.16	above_value	+7.74	—	#145266	0.58	range_low	+0.58%	+0.02	11/10 14:00 upd 11/10 15:10	↗
15m #288250	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.464	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b -1.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.49	54%	↔ -0.02	above_value	+8.22	—	#145128	0.27	range_low	+0.56%	-0.35	11/10 14:45 upd 11/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #193373	fresh	2026-10-11 14:00	0s	0.670	0.697	28/71	2026-10-11 15:00	2026-10-11 15:37
4h #193158	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	3h	0.736	0.811	12/69	2026-10-11 12:00	2026-10-11 12:38
1d #191817	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	19h	0.735	0.947	7/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #145197	fresh	2026-10-11 14:45	0s	$0.946429	$0.969810	$0.925925	hvn	0.11	5.20
7d #145266	fresh	2026-10-11 14:00	0s	$0.796460	$0.901517	$0.767120	between	7.74	6.88
30d #144852	fresh	2026-10-11 08:00	3h	$0.796909	$0.994270	$0.715174	lvn LVN	5.23	8.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.907940 → $0.924487	1.81%	1.96	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022863	+2.71
below	$0.987795 → $0.994270	0.65%	0.77	0.50	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.040445	-4.79

Prix observé : $0.947350. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.876909 → $0.890160	1.50%	0.68	0.48	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.057190	+2.93
above	$0.910982 → $0.924232	1.44%	0.68	0.46	continuation_up	—	↑ $0.023118	+1.18
below	$0.977234 → $0.994270	1.73%	0.87	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029884	-1.53

Prix observé : $0.947350. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.591575 → $0.631445	6.52%	1.24	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.315905	+9.79
above	$0.735110 → $0.763019	3.73%	0.87	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.184331	+5.71
below	$0.950412 → $0.994270	4.51%	1.36	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003062	-0.09

Prix observé : $0.947350. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T18:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T18:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}