Observation #29279

← Research Observations / #29279

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,484.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,223,348,871

Synced: 10-11 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-11 17:00) Next (10-11 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4561

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 17:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000433%

Annualized3.80%

Premium-0.00046533

Settled at: 2026-10-11 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,679.09

OI (USD)$3,146,392,272

Mark price$83,505.00

Funding next0.000484%

Day vol (USD)$1,184,052,606

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.106%

Change 4h -1.740%

Change 24h -1.073%

Z-score 7d 0.14

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000925%

Avg 24h -0.000258%

Percentile 7d 34.5%

Percentile 30d 25.8%

Δ 4h +0.000133%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.360%

Divergence 0.83

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.790

OI / Vol z-7d

0.80

OI momentum 4h

-1.745%

Funding +ratio 24h

28.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-11 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	22h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #288589	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.618	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 46%	late 18b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.54	73%	↓ -0.67	value	+2.75	—	#145202	—	—	—	—	11/10 12:00 upd 11/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #289328	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.668	expansion_after_compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.92	44%	↑ +0.71	value	+2.93	—	#145555	—	—	—	—	11/10 17:00 upd 11/10 18:05	↗
15m #289271	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.612	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.22	46%	↓ -0.70	value	+2.93	—	#145555	—	—	—	—	11/10 17:45 upd 11/10 18:00	↗
5m #289270	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.281	expansion_after_compression	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 8b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.38	53%	↔ +0.07	value	+2.93	—	#145555	—	—	—	—	11/10 17:55 upd 11/10 18:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #193592	fresh	2026-10-11 17:00	0s	0.568	0.506	46/72	2026-10-11 18:00	2026-10-11 18:35
4h #193449	fresh	2026-10-11 12:00	2h	0.547	0.503	49/71	2026-10-11 16:00	2026-10-11 16:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	22h	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #145626	fresh	2026-10-11 17:45	0s	$82,979.19	$83,822.25	$82,853.63	value	3.92	7.53
7d #145697	fresh	2026-10-11 17:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,219.60	$80,351.00	value	2.13	20.50
30d #145413	fresh	2026-10-11 12:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,082.27	hvn	-0.75	10.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,746.00 → $82,865.58	0.14%	0.93	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $618.42	+4.81
above	$83,200.42 → $83,343.92	0.17%	1.12	0.50	reversion	—	↑ $140.08	+1.09
below	$84,013.58 → $84,181.00	0.20%	1.30	0.48	continuation_up	—	↓ $529.58	-4.11

Prix observé : $83,484.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,738.28	0.48%	1.63	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,745.73	+11.56
below	$84,279.08 → $85,164.28	1.04%	3.73	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $795.07	-3.35
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.16	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,229.38	-13.60

Prix observé : $83,484.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.70	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,162.07	+13.67
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.51	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,030.13	+5.07
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.88	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,463.33	-5.80

Prix observé : $83,484.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	18:05	18:20	+0.04%	+0.15×	+0.28×	-0.28×	15m	5m	Low first	0.80	0.00%	+0.04%	12.06%	0.16%	$8.57M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	18:05	19:05	+0.17%	+0.60×	+0.65×	-0.28×	1h	5m	Low first	0.58	0.00%	+0.17%	13.27%	0.26%	$45.32M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	18:05	22:05	+0.13%	+0.45×	+1.81×	-0.59×	3h	3h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	+0.13%	20.39%	0.69%	$288.39M	20:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	18:05	06:05	-0.08%	-0.26×	+3.16×	-1.21×	9h10m	11h45m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.08%	27.12%	1.25%	$864.47M	20:25 / 00:40	05:45 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	18:05	18:05	-1.16%	-4.05×	+3.16×	-5.44×	9h10m	20h45m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.16%	29.25%	2.46%	$2.19B	20:25 / 00:40	05:45 / 08:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T21:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}