Observation #29570

← Research Observations / #29570

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-11 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,636.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,380,263,048

Synced: 10-11 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-11 21:00) Next (10-11 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6352

evaluated_at: 2026-10-11 21:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000776%

Annualized6.80%

Premium-0.00043794

Settled at: 2026-10-11 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,285.73

OI (USD)$3,196,743,726

Mark price$83,497.00

Funding next0.000743%

Day vol (USD)$1,337,871,971

Snapshot at: 2026-10-11 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.153%

Change 4h +2.213%

Change 24h +0.597%

Z-score 7d 1.56

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h -0.000112%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000325%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.182%

Divergence -1.23

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.447

OI / Vol z-7d

0.52

OI momentum 4h

+3.953%

Funding +ratio 24h

40.0%

Sign streak

+10 crowded

Time: 2026-10-11 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #290020	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.625	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 44%	late 19b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.53	value	+2.63	—	#145840	—	—	—	—	11/10 16:00 upd 11/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #290867	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.810	expansion_after_compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.72	40%	↑ +0.71	value	+4.06	—	#146201	—	—	—	—	11/10 21:00 upd 11/10 22:05	↗
15m #290804	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.690	expansion_after_compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.5ATR	—	—	1.37	88%	↑ +0.37	value	+4.06	—	#146201	—	—	—	—	11/10 21:45 upd 11/10 22:00	↗
5m #290803	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.554	expansion_after_compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 40%	early 1b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.21	48%	↓ -0.31	value	+4.06	—	#146201	—	—	—	—	11/10 21:55 upd 11/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194029	fresh	2026-10-11 21:00	0s	0.588	0.521	34/73	2026-10-11 22:00	2026-10-11 22:35
4h #193809	fresh	2026-10-11 16:00	2h	0.500	0.508	56/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	2h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #146274	fresh	2026-10-11 21:45	0s	$83,840.19	$84,181.00	$83,415.67	hvn	-1.45	5.43
7d #146347	fresh	2026-10-11 21:00	0s	$82,964.60	$84,416.60	$80,509.40	value	2.59	15.09
30d #146056	fresh	2026-10-11 16:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,187.00	hvn	-0.69	9.96

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,746.00 → $82,913.42	0.20%	1.19	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $722.58	+5.13
above	$83,200.42 → $83,343.92	0.17%	1.02	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $292.08	+2.07
below	$84,013.58 → $84,181.00	0.20%	1.19	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $377.58	-2.68

Prix observé : $83,636.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,773.40	0.52%	1.63	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,862.60	+11.06
below	$84,258.20 → $85,208.60	1.12%	3.67	0.78	reversion	✓	↓ $622.20	-2.40
below	$86,528.60 → $86,687.00	0.18%	0.61	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,892.60	-11.17

Prix observé : $83,636.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.71	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,314.07	+14.11
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.56	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,182.13	+5.40
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.89	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,311.33	-5.62

Prix observé : $83,636.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	+0.32%	+1.00×	+1.15×	-0.14×	15m	5m	Low first	0.94	0.00%	+0.32%	25.37%	0.41%	$18.25M	22:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.06%	+0.19×	+1.15×	-0.14×	15m	5m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.06%	36.59%	0.41%	$46.94M	22:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+0.24%	+0.76×	+2.18×	-0.78×	3h	2h20m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.24%	30.57%	0.95%	$238.98M	22:15 / 01:00	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	-0.94%	-2.93×	+2.41×	-4.65×	5h10m	11h25m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-0.94%	30.41%	2.26%	$1.16B	22:15 / 01:00	05:25 / 08:20	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-1.45%	-4.54×	+2.41×	-9.97×	5h10m	22h50m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-1.45%	33.04%	3.96%	$2.79B	22:15 / 01:00	05:25 / 08:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T01:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}