Observation #30020

← Research Observations / #30020

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.047622

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,685,087

Synced: 10-12 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 02:00) Next (10-12 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7679

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004686

Settled at: 2026-10-12 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)172,801,430.00

OI (USD)$8,232,433

Mark price$0.047641

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,674,494

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 02:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.006%

Change 4h +0.024%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001517%

Percentile 7d 95.2% top

Percentile 30d 77.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.426%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.206

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+0.088%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1161 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 50 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290294	fresh	7h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.719	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 36%	early 9b 0.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.63	78%	↑ +0.35	value	+3.90	—	#146048	0.37	bull_high	+9.88%	+0.59	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:24	↗
4h #291730	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.624	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 43%	late 20b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.23	76%	↑ +0.70	above_value	+4.21	—	#146709	0.40	range_high	+0.13%	+0.85	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 00:18	↗
1h anchor #292811	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.371	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b 1.3ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.35	88%	↓ -0.26	value	+4.92	—	#147244	0.33	bull_low	+1.07%	+0.67	12/10 02:00 upd 12/10 03:11	↗
15m #292734	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.602	expansion	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b 0.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.72	71%	↑ +0.17	above_value	+4.65	—	#147088	0.22	range_low	+0.77%	+0.08	12/10 02:45 upd 12/10 03:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194542	fresh	2026-10-12 02:00	0s	0.683	0.716	10/77	2026-10-12 03:00	2026-10-12 03:37
4h #194315	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	3h	0.660	0.651	19/74	2026-10-12 00:00	2026-10-12 00:39
1d #193947	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	7h	0.618	0.745	20/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #147166	fresh	2026-10-12 02:45	0s	$0.047664	$0.048479	$0.044468	hvn	-0.10	9.49
7d #147244	fresh	2026-10-12 02:00	0s	$0.043650	$0.048377	$0.039905	value	4.92	9.74
30d #146783	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	3h	$0.042090	$0.049606	$0.039711	value	3.85	6.34

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.044600 → $0.045085	1.08%	1.15	0.80	reversion	✓	↑ $0.002537	+6.00
above	$0.045173 → $0.045790	1.36%	1.46	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001832	+4.33

Prix observé : $0.047622. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.039168 → $0.040273	2.78%	1.27	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007349	+8.45
above	$0.045184 → $0.045921	1.62%	0.85	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001701	+1.95
below	$0.051078 → $0.051937	1.67%	0.99	0.48	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.003456	-3.98
below	$0.052920 → $0.053902	1.84%	1.13	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005298	-6.09

Prix observé : $0.047622. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.038570	14.27%	3.29	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009052	+5.79

Prix observé : $0.047622. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}