Observation #30109

← Research Observations / #30109

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,480.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,770,464,241

Synced: 10-12 06:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3391

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 04:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000965%

Annualized8.45%

Premium-0.00042279

Settled at: 2026-10-12 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,714.80

OI (USD)$3,234,040,529

Mark price$83,535.00

Funding next0.000980%

Day vol (USD)$1,689,846,326

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.580%

Change 4h +0.466%

Change 24h +1.292%

Z-score 7d 0.79

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001155%

Avg 24h 0.000317%

Percentile 7d 47.0%

Percentile 30d 33.9%

Δ 4h +0.000688%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.740%

Divergence -1.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.019

OI / Vol z-7d

0.08

OI momentum 4h

+0.074%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

+17 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	9h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #293109	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.626	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	late 21b 1.9ATR	—	—	1.12	38%	↔ -0.14	value	+3.71	—	#147174	—	—	—	—	12/10 00:00 upd 12/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #293551	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.590	volatile_reversal	range_low	29%	noisy_chop 36%	early 1b -0.5ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	1.43	78%	↑ +0.33	value	+3.02	—	#147330	—	—	—	—	12/10 04:00 upd 12/10 05:05	↗
15m #293488	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.496	expansion_after_compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 44%	late 7b -1.7ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.49	60%	↔ +0.08	value	+3.02	—	#147330	—	—	—	—	12/10 04:45 upd 12/10 05:00	↗
5m #293487	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.722	compression	range_low	42%	ranging_calm 54%	late 5b -2.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.74	67%	↑ +0.17	value	+3.02	—	#147330	—	—	—	—	12/10 04:55 upd 12/10 05:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194704	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	0s	0.578	0.499	34/80	2026-10-12 05:00	2026-10-12 05:35
4h #194627	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	1h	0.533	0.525	51/77	2026-10-12 04:00	2026-10-12 04:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	9h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #147486	fresh	2026-10-12 04:45	0s	$83,842.84	$84,081.83	$83,522.23	between	-1.96	3.03
7d #147567	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	0s	$82,964.60	$84,363.80	$81,195.80	hvn	1.50	9.23
30d #147408	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,187.00	hvn	0.14	9.66

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,172.48 → $83,335.70	0.20%	0.88	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $144.30	+0.78
below	$84,210.08 → $84,315.00	0.12%	0.57	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $730.07	-3.95

Prix observé : $83,480.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,773.40	0.52%	1.23	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,706.60	+7.89
below	$84,363.80 → $85,208.60	1.00%	2.46	0.80	reversion	✓	↓ $883.80	-2.58
below	$86,475.80 → $86,687.00	0.24%	0.62	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,995.80	-8.73

Prix observé : $83,480.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.69	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,158.07	+13.43
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.45	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,026.13	+4.98
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.86	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,467.33	-5.71

Prix observé : $83,480.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	05:05	05:20	-0.01%	-0.03×	+0.16×	-0.14×	5m	15m	High first	0.15	0.00%	-0.01%	17.01%	0.12%	$5.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	05:05	06:05	-0.01%	-0.03×	+0.16×	-0.70×	5m	45m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.01%	21.33%	0.35%	$85.52M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	05:05	09:05	-0.97%	-2.38×	+0.20×	-2.65×	1h45m	4h	High first	0.31	0.00%	-0.97%	27.62%	1.17%	$471.72M	— / —	08:20 / 08:35	—	100%
12h	computed	05:05	17:05	-0.67%	-1.64×	+0.20×	-3.64×	1h45m	9h45m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.67%	30.52%	1.58%	$1.22B	— / —	08:20 / 08:35	—	100%
1d	computed	05:05	05:05	-0.14%	-0.34×	+1.82×	-7.33×	23h10m	15h50m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	-0.14%	35.33%	3.75%	$3.25B	01:20 / —	08:20 / 08:35	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}