Observation #30171

← Research Observations / #30171

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.9306

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,659,956

Synced: 10-12 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 04:00) Next (10-12 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3391

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 04:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004039

Settled at: 2026-10-12 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)6,137,777.60

OI (USD)$11,851,435

Mark price$1.9309

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,694,387

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +2.001%

Change 4h +2.241%

Change 24h +0.157%

Z-score 7d 2.34 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.112%

Divergence -1.70

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.590

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.29

OI momentum 4h

+6.863%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+32 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290274	fresh	9h	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.456	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 43b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.39	29%	↓ -0.74	above_value	+6.97	—	#146038	0.48	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.68	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:23	↗
4h #293244	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.541	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	late 21b 1.6ATR	—	—	1.38	34%	↑ +0.39	above_value	+6.49	—	#147388	0.53	range_high	+0.59%	+0.38	12/10 00:00 upd 12/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #293610	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.623	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 46%	early 3b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.13	79%	↓ -0.54	value	+5.32	—	#147628	0.54	range_low	+0.21%	+0.24	12/10 04:00 upd 12/10 05:11	↗
15m #293535	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.501	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 4b -1.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	2.59	94%	↑ +0.93	above_value	+6.49	—	#147388	0.63	range_low	-0.12%	+0.00	12/10 04:45 upd 12/10 05:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194762	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	0s	0.565	0.536	42/80	2026-10-12 05:00	2026-10-12 05:37
4h #194685	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	1h	0.542	0.529	45/77	2026-10-12 04:00	2026-10-12 04:38
1d #193937	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	9h	0.353	0.401	72/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #147547	fresh	2026-10-12 04:45	0s	$1.9254	$1.9451	$1.9128	value	0.76	4.70
7d #147628	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	0s	$1.8475	$1.9348	$1.7349	value	5.32	12.79
30d #147466	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	1h	$2.0486	$2.1583	$1.9438	value	-2.97	6.09

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8804 → $1.8883	0.42%	1.15	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042283	+6.15
above	$1.8969 → $1.9027	0.30%	0.84	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027899	+4.06
above	$1.9085 → $1.9121	0.19%	0.52	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018550	+2.70
below	$1.9509 → $1.9552	0.22%	0.63	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.020285	-2.95

Prix observé : $1.9306. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.7349	2.03%	2.23	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.195702	+12.52
below	$1.9538 → $1.9950	2.09%	2.64	0.84	reversion	✓	↓ $0.023200	-1.48
below	$2.0458 → $2.0585	0.62%	0.81	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.115203	-7.37

Prix observé : $1.9306. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8219	6.92%	3.46	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.108704	+3.08
below	$2.2607 → $2.2851	1.07%	0.69	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.330121	-9.37

Prix observé : $1.9306. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}