Observation #30242

← Research Observations / #30242

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.201140

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,543,122

Synced: 10-12 07:01 +1h

← Prev (10-12 05:00) Next (10-12 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2419

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 05:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000254

Settled at: 2026-10-12 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)86,947,528.00

OI (USD)$17,484,278

Mark price$0.201090

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,736,590

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.002%

Change 4h +0.193%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d 0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 79.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.877%

Divergence -0.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.208

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.46

OI momentum 4h

-2.050%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+599 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 146 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290256	fresh	10h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.514	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	early 12b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.51	70%	↓ -0.60	above_value	+3.23	—	#146029	0.58	bull_high	+9.88%	-0.26	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:22	↗
4h #293217	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.581	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.69	23%	↑ +0.21	above_value	+2.34	—	#147379	0.72	range_high	+0.59%	+0.26	12/10 00:00 upd 12/10 04:16	↗
1h anchor #293979	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.573	expansion	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.48	55%	↓ -0.63	value	+1.55	—	#147781	0.76	range_low	+0.26%	+0.09	12/10 05:00 upd 12/10 06:12	↗
15m #293906	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.457	normal	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 44%	early 10b -1.1ATR	—	—	2.94	86%	↑ +0.41	value	+1.46	—	#147617	0.57	range_low	-0.06%	-0.07	12/10 05:45 upd 12/10 06:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194834	fresh	2026-10-12 05:00	0s	0.504	0.538	68/80	2026-10-12 06:00	2026-10-12 06:36
4h #194676	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	2h	0.515	0.504	58/77	2026-10-12 04:00	2026-10-12 04:38
1d #193928	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	10h	0.443	0.559	60/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #147699	fresh	2026-10-12 05:45	0s	$0.203076	$0.205333	$0.200162	value	-2.68	7.17
7d #147781	fresh	2026-10-12 05:00	0s	$0.198642	$0.206886	$0.191021	value	1.55	9.83
30d #147457	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	2h	$0.219720	$0.235136	$0.199977	value	-5.21	10.73

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.196140 → $0.196715	0.29%	0.80	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004425	+6.13
above	$0.198356 → $0.199341	0.50%	1.36	0.80	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001799	+2.49
below	$0.205333 → $0.205990	0.32%	0.91	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004193	-5.81

Prix observé : $0.201140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.185110 → $0.186354	0.67%	0.77	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.014786	+9.17
below	$0.208130 → $0.210930	1.34%	1.74	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006990	-4.33
below	$0.217152 → $0.222440	2.41%	3.28	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016012	-9.93

Prix observé : $0.201140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172390 → $0.184290	6.67%	3.63	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016850	+5.14
below	$0.233514 → $0.237300	1.61%	1.16	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.032374	-9.88

Prix observé : $0.201140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T09:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}