Observation #30598

← Research Observations / #30598

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.906530

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,781,749

Synced: 10-12 11:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 09:00) Next (10-12 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 09:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001010

Settled at: 2026-10-12 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,674,332.00

OI (USD)$36,881,857

Mark price$0.906760

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,059,505

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 09:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.250%

Change 4h -1.534%

Change 24h -7.153%

Z-score 7d -0.34

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.382%

Divergence 0.15

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.050

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.53

OI momentum 4h

-1.847%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+656 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290301	fresh	14h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.615	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 41%	late 9b 2.1ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	1.31	96%	↓ -0.22	above_value	+8.50	inside	#146051	0.63	bull_high	+9.88%	+1.00	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:24	↗
4h #294896	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.796	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 47%	early 6b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.88	65%	↑ +0.38	value	+8.17	—	#148135	0.50	range_high	-0.13%	+0.47	12/10 04:00 upd 12/10 08:23	↗
1h anchor #295625	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.695	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 44%	late 28b -1.9ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.88	64%	↓ -0.22	value	+7.87	—	#148545	0.56	range_medium	-0.42%	-0.31	12/10 09:00 upd 12/10 10:13	↗
15m #295542	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.395	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	50%	noisy_chop 43%	early 7b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.53	32%	↑ +0.37	value	+7.38	—	#148381	0.23	range_low	-0.61%	-0.24	12/10 09:45 upd 12/10 10:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195264	fresh	2026-10-12 09:00	0s	0.518	0.452	62/82	2026-10-12 10:00	2026-10-12 10:37
4h #195102	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	2h	0.570	0.596	30/81	2026-10-12 08:00	2026-10-12 08:39
1d #193950	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	14h	0.678	0.884	17/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148463	fresh	2026-10-12 09:45	0s	$0.941316	$0.965444	$0.928742	between	-5.72	6.03
7d #148545	fresh	2026-10-12 09:00	0s	$0.796460	$0.928018	$0.767120	value	7.87	11.76
30d #148217	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	2h	$0.796909	$0.994270	$0.727135	value	4.01	8.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.892720 → $0.897478	0.53%	0.78	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009052	+1.49
below	$0.909032 → $0.913790	0.52%	0.78	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002502	-0.41
below	$0.918547 → $0.921946	0.37%	0.56	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.012017	-1.97
below	$0.922625 → $0.928742	0.66%	1.01	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.016095	-2.65

Prix observé : $0.906530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.856087 → $0.892052	4.11%	2.63	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $0.014478	+1.06
below	$0.979127 → $0.994270	1.53%	1.11	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.072597	-5.30

Prix observé : $0.906530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.587587 → $0.631445	7.20%	1.47	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.275085	+9.20
above	$0.735110 → $0.763019	3.73%	0.93	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.143511	+4.80
below	$0.974335 → $0.994270	2.03%	0.67	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.067805	-2.27

Prix observé : $0.906530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T13:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T13:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}