Observation #30682

← Research Observations / #30682

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 11:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

10:00–11:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

11:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

12:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.045472

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,326,489

Synced: 10-12 12:02 +1h

← Prev (10-12 10:00) Next (10-12 12:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0909

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 10:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001420

Settled at: 2026-10-12 11:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)170,720,268.00

OI (USD)$7,774,601

Mark price$0.045540

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,397,789

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 10:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.046%

Change 4h -0.123%

Change 24h -1.385%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001297%

Percentile 7d 95.8% top

Percentile 30d 77.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.881%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.808

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+0.639%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1169 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 55 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290294	fresh	15h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.719	expansion	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 36%	early 9b 0.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.63	78%	↑ +0.35	value	+3.90	—	#146048	0.37	bull_high	+9.88%	+0.59	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:24	↗
4h #294887	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.702	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 39%	late 22b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.74	64%	↑ +0.65	value	+2.89	—	#148132	0.42	range_high	-0.13%	+0.69	12/10 04:00 upd 12/10 08:22	↗
1h anchor #296014	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.701	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 12b -1.1ATR	—	—	1.91	87%	↔ +0.09	above_value	+2.15	—	#148708	0.34	bear_medium_confirmed	-0.87%	-0.25	12/10 10:00 upd 12/10 11:12	↗
15m #295932	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.383	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 7b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.62	53%	↑ +0.37	above_value	+2.44	—	#148542	0.22	bear_low_confirmed	-1.01%	-0.21	12/10 10:45 upd 12/10 11:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #195344	fresh	2026-10-12 10:00	0s	0.586	0.472	34/82	2026-10-12 11:00	2026-10-12 11:37
4h #195099	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	3h	0.589	0.598	24/81	2026-10-12 08:00	2026-10-12 08:39
1d #193947	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	15h	0.618	0.745	20/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #148625	fresh	2026-10-12 10:45	0s	$0.047655	$0.048088	$0.046607	lvn LVN	-5.05	3.43
7d #148708	fresh	2026-10-12 10:00	0s	$0.043653	$0.047213	$0.040000	lvn LVN	2.15	8.53
30d #148214	fresh	2026-10-12 04:00	3h	$0.042090	$0.049416	$0.039711	hvn	2.76	6.32

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.045127 → $0.045630	1.11%	1.16	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.048172 → $0.048479	0.64%	0.71	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002700	-6.25

Prix observé : $0.045472. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.039168 → $0.040555	3.48%	1.64	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004917	+5.81
inside	$0.045271 → $0.045734	1.02%	0.55	0.58	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.045472. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.038570	14.27%	3.35	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006902	+4.50

Prix observé : $0.045472. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}